NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	8.7 [170]		MVP	Anthony Carter (MIN): +4.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	1.9 [368]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -46.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.08	-0.01	11	36%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	77%	0.12	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Reiner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	10	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Chris Duhon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	59%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.03,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	18	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	15	45%	-0.03	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.05
Tyson Chandler	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29	-0.08	-0.20	0.00	4	0%	-0.17	1	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	4	60%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.11,0.04,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.19,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.08	-0.01	25	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	10	41%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	-0.00	8	0%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.12,-0.47	-0.47	0.03	-0.48	0.01	22	51%	-0.44	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	25.5	15.7	22.8	1.7	32.2	124.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +66.4%

CHI +17.4%

CHI +0.5%

MIN -38.4%

CHI +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	17.4	15.5	102.4	97.6	104.0
season	15.1	15.8		100.1	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.4		104.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.1	17.5	16.5	16.7	16.5
MIN	16.8	15.3	17.8	20.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	52	52	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.32	16	-12	28	16.1	17.0	-0.88	16.6	18.8	-2.23
Tyson Chandler	55	56	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-8	20	16.6	16.3	0.30	17.1	18.0	-0.82
Othella Harrington	57	56	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.42	0	4	-4	16.0	17.3	-1.29	17.3	17.7	-0.46
Luol Deng	49	51	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	6	-8	15.6	17.6	-2.05	19.2	14.7	4.53
Andres Nocioni	27	27	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.01	7	-3	10	17.0	16.2	0.74	14.3	18.9	-4.53
Kirk Hinrich	63	61	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.47	-12	16	-28	16.7	15.7	1.05	18.0	16.0	1.93
Chris Duhon	50	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.07	6	-2	8	16.3	16.7	-0.43	17.9	16.8	1.10
Adrian Griffin	9	7	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	7	-10	19.7	16.1	3.59	16.1	17.5	-1.40
Jared Reiner	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	4	-4	0.0	16.5	-16.46	4.0	17.6	-13.58
Eddy Curry	58	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	6	-8	16.8	15.8	1.00	18.1	16.1	2.02
Eric Piatkowski	5	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	6	-8	18.4	16.3	2.06	15.7	17.6	-1.89

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ervin Johnson	37	37	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.08	2	-6	8	17.8	17.2	0.59	15.9	16.9	-0.91
Kevin Garnett	61	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.47	10	-14	24	17.8	16.6	1.17	16.6	16.1	0.49
Fred Hoiberg	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	4	-12	16.3	17.9	-1.60	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Troy Hudson	60	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-11	18	17.9	16.2	1.68	16.3	16.8	-0.56
Trenton Hassell	51	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	3	-10	17.1	17.9	-0.76	16.5	16.4	0.06
Latrell Sprewell	78	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.44	5	-9	14	17.5	16.6	0.93	16.7	13.7	2.99
Eddie Griffin	27	28	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	8	-20	15.9	18.1	-2.19	16.0	16.7	-0.74
Michael Olowokandi	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	4	-12	17.6	17.2	0.38	17.0	15.8	1.13
Anthony Carter	39	39	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	5	-14	17.7	17.2	0.45	16.4	16.5	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.4,0.39,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.42,0.23,0.31,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 129, NOP 126	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.18,0.26,0.21,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.31,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.65,0.69,0.45,0.43,0.16,0	91.9%
MIN 108, DEN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.29,0.15,0.17,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.27,0	91.3%
UTA 103, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.1,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.28,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	90.8%