NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	10.3 [83]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (UTA): +35.2%
Miami Heat	102		Comeback	4.8 [152]		LVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): -36.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.35	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.04,0.2,0.12,0.35,0.35	0.13	0.23	0.01	13	79%	0.55	3	-0.20	3	100%	0.05
Derrick Favors	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	4	62%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	150%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	9	52%	0.03	2	-0.00	5	40%	-0.09
Raul Neto	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08	-0.01	-0.10	-0.02	15	56%	0.05	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.03
Donovan Mitchell	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.14,-0.36	-0.09	-0.29	-0.02	24	37%	-0.26	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.03,0.08,0.23	0.23	-0.01	0.22	-0.02	15	43%	0.24	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.10
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	0.01	8	70%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.17,0.17,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.11	-0.13	-0.00	17	57%	0.14	1	-0.16	6	17%	-0.08
Josh Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	16	42%	0.10	4	-0.14	6	100%	0.03
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	9	50%	-0.03	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	25.5	15.5	27.3	2.7	35.1	133.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -0.8%

MIA +24.5%

MIA +21.2%

UTA -0.2%

MIA +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIA	NBA	UTA	MIA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.4	14.3	104.2	106.2	109.3
season	14.3	14.8		109.3	106.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		106.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.2	16.0	15.8	13.3	14.6
MIA	16.8	13.3	14.2	17.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	38	37	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.03	4	-6	10	14.7	14.5	0.15	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Rudy Gobert	75	73	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.52	19	-21	40	14.3	15.7	-1.37	16.0	13.6	2.42
Ricky Rubio	73	71	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.45	14	-16	30	14.4	15.3	-0.88	15.8	14.3	1.52
Thabo Sefolosha	12	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.10	-5	3	-8	18.4	14.0	4.37	15.7	15.4	0.36
Raul Neto	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	2	-6	11.3	14.8	-3.48	17.5	15.3	2.23
Dante Exum	4	5	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	2	-6	17.2	14.5	2.77	5.8	15.9	-10.13
Joe Ingles	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.47	7	-9	16	14.8	14.2	0.61	16.0	14.5	1.50
Derrick Favors	36	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.12	-19	17	-36	15.4	14.1	1.23	14.4	16.0	-1.67
Jae Crowder	68	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.48	1	-3	4	14.0	16.0	-1.99	15.5	15.1	0.39
Kyle Korver	35	35	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.06	-18	16	-34	15.1	14.3	0.86	14.7	15.8	-1.18
Donovan Mitchell	76	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	3	-8	14.3	15.8	-1.52	15.3	15.7	-0.35

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	62	62	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.44	21	-19	40	15.0	16.2	-1.19	14.6	14.6	-0.04
Justise Winslow	65	63	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-12	26	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.0	13.8	1.14
Kelly Olynyk	57	58	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.14	18	-16	34	15.7	14.9	0.77	14.9	14.2	0.68
Bam Adebayo	29	29	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-8	18	14.1	16.0	-1.82	14.9	14.5	0.38
Hassan Whiteside	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.51	-8	10	-18	15.7	14.6	1.08	14.5	14.9	-0.38
Josh Richardson	79	78	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.64	-13	15	-28	15.2	16.5	-1.29	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Rodney McGruder	11	10	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.19	-14	16	-30	18.9	15.0	3.96	12.7	14.8	-2.11
James Johnson	38	38	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.20	-16	18	-34	15.3	15.4	-0.11	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Wayne Ellington	71	75	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.22	-2	4	-6	15.9	14.0	1.90	14.8	13.8	1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.4,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.64,0.59,0.34,0.39,0.28,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, MIL 116	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.61,0.37,0.47,0.41,1	91.5%
SAS 89, CHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.58,1	89.4%
TOR 82, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.53,0.72,1	89.3%