NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	8.8 [209]		MVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): +23.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	105		Comeback	15.1 [195]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -15.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.23	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.29,0.3,0.23	0.06	0.18	0.02	20	62%	0.33	4	-0.11	12	67%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0.19	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.12	0.00	6	100%	0.24	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	8	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Brandon Ingram	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	10	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	23%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Lonzo Ball	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	65%	0.09	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.24	0.24	0.17	0.09	0.01	13	75%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	18	50%	0.16	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.02	-0.06	7	41%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	41%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	17	41%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	17	33%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.6	25.5	14.8	29.2	3.5	41.4	144.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +44.4%

LAL +9.1%

LAL +13.8%

CLE -31.5%

LAL +14.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CLE	NBA	LAL	CLE	NBA
this game	12.9	17.0	14.3	116.0	107.1	109.3
season	13.5	15.5		107.2	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.2		116.5	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.1	12.8	12.3	12.4	12.9
CLE	15.9	17.8	16.8	17.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Ingram	71	74	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.50	15	-11	26	12.4	14.5	-2.11	17.4	16.0	1.42
Lonzo Ball	68	72	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.41	16	-12	28	12.3	14.4	-2.13	18.4	13.3	5.12
Kyle Kuzma	53	58	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.26	13	-9	22	12.5	13.3	-0.81	18.8	14.5	4.23
LeBron James	67	70	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.35	9	-5	14	12.7	13.4	-0.79	18.2	14.1	4.14
JaVale McGee	45	48	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.32	7	-3	10	13.2	12.6	0.65	19.0	15.1	3.86
Tyson Chandler	41	40	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	13	-22	13.3	12.5	0.81	14.5	18.8	-4.23
Josh Hart	44	44	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.07	-9	13	-22	13.6	12.3	1.33	15.1	18.6	-3.56
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	51	53	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	-0.10	-8	12	-20	13.0	12.8	0.17	15.2	19.2	-3.93
Lance Stephenson	30	31	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.02	-14	18	-32	14.3	12.2	2.03	13.2	18.8	-5.61

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	40	39	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.05	10	-14	24	14.5	18.8	-4.28	12.9	12.9	0.07
Kyle Korver	39	39	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.08	4	-8	12	15.3	18.2	-2.95	12.4	13.2	-0.85
Andrew Harrison	26	25	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.02	1	-5	6	15.3	17.7	-2.40	14.0	12.5	1.47
Jordan Clarkson	57	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-8	12	16.0	18.5	-2.51	12.4	13.5	-1.08
David Nwaba	46	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.18	-4	0	-4	18.6	15.6	3.02	13.2	12.6	0.64
Collin Sexton	71	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	2	-8	17.9	14.8	3.06	12.8	13.0	-0.22
Rodney Hood	68	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.48	-4	0	-4	17.3	16.4	0.86	13.0	12.7	0.29
Tristan Thompson	58	54	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.40	-13	9	-22	18.7	14.6	4.06	13.1	12.6	0.49
Cedi Osman	85	82	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	8	-20	17.4	14.8	2.52	12.7	13.9	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.42,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.77,0.92,0.81,0.94,0.81,0.71,0.34,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.41,0.26,0	90.9%
CLE 92, DET 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.81,0.71,0.76,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.45,0.02,0	90.6%
ORL 106, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.73,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.63,0.45,0.15,0	90.3%