NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	119		Excitement	2.7 [1225]		MVP	Damian Lillard (POR): +11.9%
Washington Wizards	109		Comeback	1.0 [860]		LVP	Dwight Howard (WAS): -7.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.00	0.02	29	55%	0.12	1	-0.00	15	87%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	0.00	0.07	16	69%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jake Layman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	3	78%	0.06	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.02
Nik Stauskas	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	13	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	5	83%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.04	21	51%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.05
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	86%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	37%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.11	-0.00	0.14	14	59%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.07	8	65%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.6	29.4	14.8	29.7	1.6	31.4	134.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +30.6%

POR +13.2%

POR +2.0%

POR +3.7%

POR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	WAS	NBA	POR	WAS	NBA
this game	14.0	13.2	14.3	113.3	101.9	109.3
season	14.9	13.8		112.6	109.8
opponent	14.3	13.9		112.4	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.5	11.7	13.3	17.7	14.0
WAS	14.2	16.0	11.1	11.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	67	70	0.68	-0.18	0.86	-0.11	27	-17	44	13.6	14.6	-0.98	14.1	11.6	2.45
CJ McCollum	83	84	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.03	22	-12	34	14.5	11.8	2.76	13.9	10.8	3.11
Al-Farouq Aminu	78	81	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.00	22	-12	34	13.5	15.3	-1.76	13.8	11.5	2.33
Damian Lillard	83	86	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-7	24	13.4	15.9	-2.48	13.2	13.1	0.10
Jake Layman	58	57	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	1	8	14.8	12.9	1.99	13.0	13.5	-0.56
Evan Turner	70	72	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.36	-7	17	-24	13.4	15.0	-1.57	13.1	13.5	-0.35
Meyers Leonard	9	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	16	-22	17.1	13.7	3.45	10.1	13.5	-3.35
Wade Baldwin IV	4	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	19.0	13.8	5.25	7.5	13.4	-5.95
Anfernee Simons	13	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	16	-22	14.1	13.9	0.14	13.0	13.3	-0.25
Nik Stauskas	31	32	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.22	-13	23	-36	13.7	14.0	-0.30	11.5	14.0	-2.46
Zach Collins	29	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.14	-11	21	-32	13.8	14.0	-0.22	12.0	13.7	-1.63

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tomas Satoransky	42	40	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.60	22	-32	54	11.9	14.1	-2.17	16.0	12.7	3.27
Thomas Bryant	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	11.5	13.4	-1.97	17.1	13.6	3.48
Troy Brown Jr.	22	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.36	12	-22	34	11.2	13.7	-2.51	17.5	13.1	4.40
Jason Smith	24	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.13	4	-14	18	11.3	13.8	-2.44	14.6	13.8	0.81
Kelly Oubre Jr.	65	65	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.48	14	-24	38	12.5	14.4	-1.94	14.1	13.7	0.37
Austin Rivers	67	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.43	12	-22	34	12.6	14.2	-1.64	13.5	14.6	-1.04
Jeff Green	55	55	-0.20	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-4	-2	13.7	12.7	1.00	13.8	14.1	-0.28
Dwight Howard	17	17	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	5	-20	15.5	12.8	2.67	11.7	14.4	-2.68
Markieff Morris	42	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.28	-24	14	-38	14.1	12.7	1.43	14.0	13.9	0.08
John Wall	71	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.36	-28	18	-46	13.7	12.3	1.38	12.6	16.8	-4.20
Bradley Beal	55	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	0.16	-22	12	-34	14.7	11.7	3.06	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Otto Porter Jr.	64	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.24	-26	16	-42	13.8	12.3	1.50	13.5	14.6	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 129, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
CHI 110, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DET 103, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%