NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	117		Excitement	5.8 [710]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +31.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	126		Comeback	3.5 [464]		LVP	Nik Stauskas (POR): -7.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.05	13	62%	0.12	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	23	53%	0.11	2	-0.06	13	92%	0.04
CJ McCollum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	20	55%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	11	82%	0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	2	150%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	7	36%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.32	0.09	0.10	19	83%	0.41	4	-0.10	15	87%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.03	0.02	12	77%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	8	72%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	15	49%	0.11	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.8	27.8	14.7	29.5	3.5	37.5	140.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.0%

LAL +2.0%

LAL +7.9%

LAL +5.5%

POR -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.6	14.3	112.5	120.0	109.3
season	14.9	13.5		112.6	107.2
opponent	14.2	13.9		108.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	11.4	15.5	15.7	13.4	13.9
LAL	15.8	13.3	12.6	12.8	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Seth Curry	16	16	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-11	13	12.6	14.2	-1.61	17.7	12.9	4.78
Jake Layman	50	52	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.39	14	-23	37	12.7	15.1	-2.36	14.9	12.4	2.43
Meyers Leonard	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-8	7	15.0	13.7	1.30	14.7	13.4	1.27
Jusuf Nurkic	75	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-9	9	13.7	14.6	-0.97	13.9	13.0	0.82
Nik Stauskas	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	14.6	13.6	0.97	14.0	13.5	0.57
Al-Farouq Aminu	73	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-7	5	14.0	13.8	0.21	14.1	12.7	1.42
Zach Collins	36	36	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	4	-17	14.3	13.7	0.54	13.3	13.8	-0.46
Damian Lillard	81	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	13.7	14.8	-1.10	13.2	15.4	-2.24
CJ McCollum	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	2	-13	14.3	12.8	1.55	13.1	15.2	-2.15
Evan Turner	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	12	-33	14.5	13.1	1.35	11.8	16.4	-4.53

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonzo Ball	68	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.19	7	2	5	14.3	12.5	1.78	14.2	13.5	0.72
LeBron James	76	76	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	5	-1	14.1	12.6	1.50	14.0	13.8	0.19
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	42	40	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	2	5	12.0	14.7	-2.77	13.9	14.0	-0.08
Kyle Kuzma	52	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	4	1	13.6	13.6	-0.01	15.0	12.8	2.27
Josh Hart	55	53	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	4	1	14.0	13.2	0.84	12.5	15.4	-2.96
Tyson Chandler	43	43	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	3	3	14.3	13.2	1.09	13.5	14.2	-0.70
JaVale McGee	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	4	1	13.1	14.2	-1.03	14.6	13.2	1.35
Brandon Ingram	66	68	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	9	-9	14.5	12.2	2.28	14.0	13.8	0.18
Lance Stephenson	31	30	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.01	4	5	-1	12.4	14.2	-1.82	13.7	14.0	-0.27
Rajon Rondo	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	7	-5	12.5	14.3	-1.78	13.5	14.2	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.58,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.59,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
BOS 93, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.85,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
NOK 80, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.7%