NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	120		Excitement	3.6 [1098]		MVP	Tyler Johnson (MIA): +7.2%
Brooklyn Nets	107		Comeback	1.0 [862]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (BKN): -13.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.19	0.00	0.12	12	86%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Bam Adebayo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	6	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.01	-0.08	13	50%	0.08	3	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	15	58%	0.07	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Udonis Haslem	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	73%	0.02	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Justise Winslow	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.00	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	9	55%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dzanan Musa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	12	58%	0.03	4	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rodions Kurucs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	13	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Allen Crabbe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	13	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.03
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	18	33%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	1.7	28.5	14.4	27.4	2.4	29.6	131.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +41.0%

MIA +8.0%

BKN -2.3%

MIA +3.2%

MIA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	BKN	NBA	MIA	BKN	NBA
this game	13.3	13.2	14.3	109.1	100.0	109.3
season	14.8	14.3		106.3	108.6
opponent	14.0	14.3		109.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	12.8	12.7	12.8	15.0	13.3
BKN	14.4	12.6	14.4	11.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	83	80	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.00	17	-4	21	13.5	12.8	0.66	12.9	14.1	-1.12
Justise Winslow	76	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-6	25	13.4	13.1	0.36	14.1	11.3	2.79
Rodney McGruder	77	75	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	7	-1	13.1	13.8	-0.73	13.2	13.4	-0.25
Tyler Johnson	69	70	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.07	6	7	-1	13.4	13.1	0.26	13.0	13.7	-0.72
Wayne Ellington	58	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.32	-3	16	-19	14.2	12.3	1.90	13.2	13.3	-0.14
Goran Dragic	70	68	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	8	-3	12.3	15.0	-2.66	13.0	13.6	-0.64
Kelly Olynyk	36	36	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	7	-1	14.0	13.0	1.03	13.1	13.3	-0.14
Hassan Whiteside	51	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	6	1	12.7	13.8	-1.12	13.1	13.4	-0.25
Bam Adebayo	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	10	-7	13.4	13.3	0.09	14.4	13.0	1.43
Udonis Haslem	6	4	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	12	-11	12.0	13.4	-1.38	13.0	13.2	-0.24
Duncan Robinson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	18.7	13.2	5.51	7.5	13.3	-5.84

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dzanan Musa	6	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	9.2	13.5	-4.31	17.0	13.1	3.94
Rodions Kurucs	17	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-20	27	9.6	13.9	-4.33	14.1	13.2	0.96
Kenneth Faried	17	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-16	19	12.5	13.4	-0.91	14.9	13.0	1.92
D'Angelo Russell	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-9	5	13.9	12.6	1.23	13.3	13.3	0.03
Ed Davis	37	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-9	5	14.0	12.8	1.21	12.8	13.6	-0.72
Jared Dudley	53	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.02	-5	-8	3	13.8	12.7	1.14	13.8	12.8	0.95
Allen Crabbe	55	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-10	7	13.3	13.2	0.16	13.8	12.8	0.99
Shabazz Napier	60	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-8	3	12.9	13.7	-0.80	13.0	13.7	-0.70
DeMarre Carroll	63	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.14	-5	-8	3	13.0	13.6	-0.68	12.8	13.9	-1.09
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	54	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	-3	-7	12.8	13.7	-0.88	12.6	14.0	-1.45
Joe Harris	55	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	5	-23	13.7	12.8	0.87	13.6	12.9	0.69
Spencer Dinwiddie	66	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.25	-24	11	-35	13.9	12.2	1.64	12.8	14.1	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 107, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
MIA 112, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
SAC 114, NOP 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%