NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	112		Excitement	4.8 [890]		MVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): +20.1%
Toronto Raptors	128		Comeback	1.5 [1242]		LVP	Emmanuel Mudiay (NYK): -7.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	17	69%	0.21	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.00
Kevin Knox	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.02	-0.04	11	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Mitchell Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Damyean Dotson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.07	8	76%	0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	8	31%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.04	14	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	0.05	11	55%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.20	0.03	0.03	7	100%	0.24	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	6	86%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	10	73%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.01	0.05	8	73%	0.07	1	-0.00	10	60%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	64%	0.06	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	7	50%	0.03	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	27.8	14.8	27.4	2.5	27.2	127.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +48.5%

TOR +8.5%

NYK -10.3%

TOR +3.1%

TOR +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	TOR	NBA	NYK	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	13.5	14.3	109.8	128.0	109.3
season	14.5	14.3		103.8	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.1		105.9	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.2	15.8	15.1	12.8	15.0
TOR	12.6	11.8	14.3	15.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Frank Ntilikina	53	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-13	10	13.9	16.1	-2.20	13.4	13.7	-0.24
Mitchell Robinson	60	61	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.24	5	-21	26	13.6	17.0	-3.35	14.4	12.2	2.16
Noah Vonleh	52	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.02	-6	-10	4	16.5	13.4	3.18	13.7	13.3	0.40
Tim Hardaway Jr.	67	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-10	4	15.1	14.8	0.32	13.4	13.7	-0.33
Kevin Knox	53	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-10	4	14.2	15.8	-1.61	13.1	14.0	-0.96
Damyean Dotson	49	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-8	0	15.8	14.2	1.61	13.6	13.5	0.12
Mario Hezonja	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-8	0	13.3	16.4	-3.11	13.6	13.5	0.14
Emmanuel Mudiay	47	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	-5	-6	16.2	13.9	2.29	14.0	13.2	0.79
Enes Kanter	42	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	5	-26	17.0	13.6	3.35	12.2	14.4	-2.16
Allonzo Trier	39	36	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	0	-16	14.7	15.2	-0.47	13.6	13.5	0.06

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	2	12	14.1	12.9	1.16	13.8	16.3	-2.55
Fred VanVleet	46	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	2	12	12.9	14.1	-1.16	14.6	15.4	-0.83
Jonas Valanciunas	44	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.22	18	-2	20	13.9	13.2	0.61	14.2	15.6	-1.43
OG Anunoby	52	53	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	8	0	13.5	13.6	-0.12	14.2	15.8	-1.61
Kyle Lowry	54	54	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	10	-4	13.2	13.8	-0.61	16.4	13.4	2.91
Kawhi Leonard	48	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	8	0	13.6	13.5	0.12	15.8	14.2	1.61
Pascal Siakam	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	8	0	13.4	13.7	-0.29	15.9	13.7	2.24
CJ Miles	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	13	-10	13.8	13.3	0.55	13.3	16.0	-2.68
Serge Ibaka	52	53	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	13	-10	13.0	14.1	-1.08	16.3	13.6	2.67
Danny Green	44	45	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	14	-12	13.1	13.8	-0.73	15.7	14.4	1.23
Greg Monroe	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	17.4	13.3	4.08	10.8	15.2	-4.40
Lorenzo Brown	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	17.4	13.3	4.08	10.8	15.2	-4.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.84,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.61,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIN 100, UTA 122	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
WAS 105, DEN 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%