NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	4.6 [936]		MVP	Jonas Valanciunas (TOR): +19.3%
Toronto Raptors	129		Comeback	1.3 [1015]		LVP	Ben Simmons (PHI): -23.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.13	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	21	63%	0.13	2	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
Robert Covington	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.00	-0.02	10	65%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Landry Shamet	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Markelle Fultz	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	15	43%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.01	0.03	4	50%	-0.03	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.02	9	46%	-0.03	11	-0.21	6	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.08	-0.03	14	68%	0.22	3	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.20	-0.00	0.13	19	65%	0.07	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	13	57%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	39%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	14	62%	0.09	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.3	31.4	15.4	28.6	2.4	32.2	140.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +25.7%

TOR +15.1%

PHI -11.2%

TOR +18.8%

TOR +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	12.8	14.3	104.7	119.4	109.3
season	14.0	14.3		110.9	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.1		105.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	16.4	12.5	13.8	14.0
TOR	11.8	11.3	12.3	16.2	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonah Bolden	8	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-17	17	8.9	14.4	-5.54	17.7	12.5	5.26
T.J. McConnell	17	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-14	11	9.7	14.8	-5.11	14.0	12.5	1.46
Markelle Fultz	45	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-12	7	12.9	14.8	-1.88	12.3	13.2	-0.86
Mike Muscala	36	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.30	-17	0	-17	13.9	14.0	-0.08	12.9	12.7	0.15
Landry Shamet	38	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	-9	1	13.4	14.3	-0.98	12.9	12.7	0.22
Amir Johnson	28	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-14	11	11.4	14.9	-3.58	12.7	12.8	-0.13
Joel Embiid	83	84	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-14	11	14.3	13.1	1.18	12.5	13.8	-1.28
JJ Redick	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-12	7	15.2	12.3	2.91	13.4	11.9	1.56
Dario Saric	71	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-11	5	14.5	13.0	1.55	12.6	13.2	-0.64
Ben Simmons	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-4	-9	14.5	12.8	1.63	12.5	13.4	-0.91
Robert Covington	83	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	0	-17	14.4	12.6	1.83	12.5	13.9	-1.39

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pascal Siakam	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.26	24	-7	31	13.0	12.4	0.54	14.2	13.6	0.57
Danny Green	79	76	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-3	23	12.7	13.1	-0.47	14.2	13.4	0.86
Kyle Lowry	84	82	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-3	23	12.8	12.7	0.17	14.2	13.4	0.84
Serge Ibaka	68	66	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.12	16	1	15	12.9	12.5	0.39	14.3	13.6	0.67
Kawhi Leonard	77	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.01	11	6	5	12.4	13.8	-1.37	14.4	13.0	1.38
Norman Powell	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	12	-7	13.7	12.4	1.24	13.5	14.2	-0.71
Jonas Valanciunas	39	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	16	-15	12.3	13.1	-0.85	13.8	14.1	-0.32
CJ Miles	41	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.17	-2	19	-21	12.9	12.8	0.09	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Delon Wright	30	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.34	-9	26	-35	12.4	13.0	-0.59	13.5	14.2	-0.64
Lorenzo Brown	8	9	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.02	3	14	-11	12.6	12.8	-0.19	14.1	14.0	0.12
Malachi Richardson	8	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	15.4	12.6	2.78	9.8	14.4	-4.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 83, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.82,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 72, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
WAS 79, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%