NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	7.9 [326]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): +22.6%
San Antonio Spurs	110		Comeback	7.2 [165]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (LAL): -14.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.11	0.15	-0.01	0.03	21	70%	0.22	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	12	58%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	-0.06	0.02	14	54%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Svi Mykhailiuk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	41%	0.03	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	5	75%	0.07	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Lonzo Ball	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	8	33%	-0.02	3	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.23	0.23	0.07	0.15	-0.01	23	62%	0.35	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.10	0.02	5	79%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	10	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	15	46%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.02	0.02	16	44%	-0.01	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.6	28.5	14.7	26.1	2.4	33.4	134.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +12.8%

SAS +13.6%

SAS +11.2%

SAS +16.8%

LAL -4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	12.7	14.8	14.3	101.9	104.8	109.3
season	13.5	14.8		107.2	111.7
opponent	14.4	14.2		110.4	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.7	12.9	14.1	12.3	12.7
SAS	16.0	13.3	13.6	16.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	49	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-4	4	13.1	12.4	0.65	13.3	16.3	-2.98
Svi Mykhailiuk	4	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-1	-2	19.5	12.5	7.03	20.3	14.6	5.69
JaVale McGee	54	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-4	4	11.8	13.8	-2.00	15.9	13.7	2.18
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	37	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-3	2	13.5	12.3	1.16	13.2	15.6	-2.37
Johnathan Williams	35	35	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	2	-8	14.8	11.7	3.06	13.7	15.4	-1.73
Kyle Kuzma	65	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-3	2	12.4	13.4	-0.99	16.0	12.8	3.21
LeBron James	73	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-3	2	12.3	13.7	-1.33	15.7	12.3	3.41
Rajon Rondo	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.39	2	-6	8	12.7	12.9	-0.20	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Josh Hart	82	82	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	12.4	14.1	-1.71	14.2	17.0	-2.75
Lonzo Ball	59	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.26	-7	3	-10	12.7	12.8	-0.11	15.3	14.1	1.21

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	71	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-9	22	14.2	16.1	-1.89	13.2	11.8	1.41
Pau Gasol	38	39	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-2	8	12.7	16.0	-3.33	14.3	11.8	2.43
DeMar DeRozan	83	84	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	2	0	15.6	11.7	3.90	12.7	13.0	-0.38
Patty Mills	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.08	9	-5	14	14.7	14.9	-0.22	12.4	13.1	-0.77
LaMarcus Aldridge	72	70	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	-2	8	15.5	13.3	2.24	12.3	13.6	-1.35
Bryn Forbes	71	69	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.44	-8	12	-20	14.7	15.0	-0.28	12.1	14.0	-1.86
Marco Belinelli	52	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	4	-4	14.4	15.2	-0.88	13.3	12.2	1.06
Davis Bertans	28	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	5	-6	15.2	14.7	0.55	12.5	12.8	-0.27
Dante Cunningham	56	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	11	-18	15.3	14.2	1.14	12.5	13.0	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.46,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.58,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 96, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.77,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	92.8%
SAC 77, LAC 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.38,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.92,1	92.1%
DET 97, DAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.16,0.21,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.0%