NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	8.1 [294]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +33.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	124		Comeback	1.2 [999]		LVP	Donte DiVincenzo (MIL): -12.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damyean Dotson	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.02	13	54%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	5	69%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	23	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Enes Kanter	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Mario Hezonja	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	16	56%	0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allonzo Trier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ron Baker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	18	51%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.27	0.10	0.03	14	100%	0.37	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.02	10	62%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.09,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.10	0.01	29	48%	0.22	3	-0.10	6	67%	0.03
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	9	55%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.02	9	40%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	11	67%	0.16	2	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	12%	-0.08	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	0.8	27.3	14.4	23.6	2.5	27.5	125.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.4%

MIL +16.9%

MIL +26.7%

NYK -16.2%

MIL +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.5	14.3	111.9	119.2	109.3
season	14.5	13.5		103.8	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.1		104.0	112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.8	13.8	14.1	15.8	14.6
MIL	13.0	12.3	14.1	14.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	40	41	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-17	23	13.5	15.3	-1.78	13.0	13.9	-0.85
Allonzo Trier	37	38	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.18	9	-20	29	14.4	14.7	-0.22	13.6	13.5	0.15
Trey Burke	48	50	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.09	5	-16	21	14.1	15.0	-0.82	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Ron Baker	2	3	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.08	-5	-6	1	19.0	14.5	4.52	11.7	13.6	-1.93
Noah Vonleh	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-3	-5	14.9	14.3	0.58	13.4	13.6	-0.24
Enes Kanter	67	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	14.5	14.8	-0.33	13.2	14.3	-1.08
Damyean Dotson	64	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-3	-5	15.0	13.8	1.20	14.1	12.6	1.51
Frank Ntilikina	72	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-5	-1	15.0	13.6	1.34	14.0	12.3	1.66
Mario Hezonja	63	63	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.18	-14	3	-17	14.8	14.2	0.54	14.1	12.6	1.53
Tim Hardaway Jr.	72	73	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	0.02	-25	14	-39	14.4	15.1	-0.74	13.1	14.5	-1.35

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	66	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-4	19	13.4	13.7	-0.31	14.8	14.1	0.68
Eric Bledsoe	69	66	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.03	19	-8	27	13.4	13.9	-0.48	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	2	7	13.3	14.3	-0.98	14.8	13.9	0.92
Khris Middleton	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.03	16	-5	21	13.6	13.3	0.32	14.4	15.1	-0.73
Malcolm Brogdon	69	66	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.54	-7	18	-25	13.3	13.9	-0.61	14.7	14.3	0.44
Tony Snell	34	32	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.07	11	0	11	12.6	14.0	-1.32	15.6	14.1	1.49
Ersan Ilyasova	46	46	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.16	4	7	-3	14.7	12.6	2.04	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Donte DiVincenzo	43	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.15	-8	19	-27	13.9	13.3	0.59	14.4	14.7	-0.35
John Henson	38	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	15	-19	13.7	13.4	0.31	14.1	14.8	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.73,0.62,0.61,0.49,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, BOS 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.81,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.43,0.46,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.69,0.9,0.94,0.99,1	91.4%
NJN 96, BOS 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.76,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.96,1	90.7%
PHX 91, IND 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.91,1	90.0%