NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	3.1 [1174]		MVP	Damyean Dotson (NYK): +11.4%
New York Knicks	122		Comeback	1.1 [330]		LVP	Josh Richardson (MIA): -4.0%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	6	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	63%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	10	68%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	9	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.18	0.00	0.07	21	67%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	10	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	11	74%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	12	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Hicks	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	56%	0.03	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	8	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	0.3	30.3	11.8	30.0	0.8	22.2	123.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +46.1%

MIA -8.6%

NYK +6.0%

NYK +3.4%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NYK	NBA	MIA	NYK	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	14.7	98.0	120.8	107.5
season	15.1	14.9		105.4	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.6		109.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.8	13.2	13.6	15.4	14.4
NYK	14.2	13.5	14.1	15.2	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	12	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-28	32	14.5	14.4	0.09	17.4	13.8	3.61
Bam Adebayo	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-22	20	13.4	14.8	-1.35	14.5	14.1	0.38
Kelly Olynyk	37	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-12	0	14.6	14.3	0.36	15.2	13.7	1.49
Rodney McGruder	46	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	-12	0	14.3	14.5	-0.13	14.2	14.2	-0.01
Justise Winslow	45	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.28	-17	-7	-10	14.8	14.1	0.73	14.5	14.0	0.55
Hassan Whiteside	37	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-14	4	14.9	14.1	0.75	13.1	14.9	-1.77
Dwyane Wade	39	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.21	-15	-9	-6	15.2	14.0	1.20	14.7	14.0	0.76
Tyler Johnson	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-19	14	14.5	14.3	0.22	14.4	14.1	0.31
James Johnson	51	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-13	2	13.5	15.3	-1.82	13.4	15.2	-1.85
Wayne Ellington	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.12	-13	-11	-2	14.7	14.1	0.56	15.2	13.0	2.24
Josh Richardson	42	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-10	-4	14.1	14.6	-0.52	13.3	15.0	-1.71
Goran Dragic	51	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	-11	-2	14.3	14.5	-0.22	13.3	15.2	-1.84

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	62	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.24	24	0	24	13.6	15.3	-1.70	14.3	14.6	-0.23
Damyean Dotson	76	76	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.22	21	3	18	13.8	15.5	-1.70	14.4	14.5	-0.11
Trey Burke	66	64	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.07	8	16	-8	14.0	14.7	-0.73	13.7	15.7	-1.99
Kyle O'Quinn	49	49	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	14	-4	13.0	15.4	-2.48	13.8	15.0	-1.18
Frank Ntilikina	71	69	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.10	12	12	0	13.5	15.9	-2.32	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Courtney Lee	60	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	12	0	15.3	12.7	2.62	14.5	14.2	0.30
Luke Kornet	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.35	20	4	16	15.0	13.7	1.25	15.5	13.6	1.83
Emmanuel Mudiay	15	16	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	16	-8	15.0	14.1	0.90	15.6	14.2	1.36
Isaiah Hicks	38	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	25	-26	15.9	13.2	2.74	14.7	14.3	0.38
Jarrett Jack	24	23	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.16	6	18	-12	15.2	13.9	1.33	15.4	14.1	1.26
Michael Beasley	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	24	-24	20.0	14.2	5.82	0.0	14.4	-14.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.62,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 79, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DAL 89, LAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
MEM 70, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%