NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	125		Excitement	9.0 [147]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +32.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	128		Comeback	9.3 [176]		LVP	Lonzo Ball (LAL): -52.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.28	0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.28	0.25	0.05	0.02	15	87%	0.32	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.15	0.12	0.01	12	79%	0.30	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	11	71%	0.17	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	16	57%	0.12	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Ivica Zubac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Wear	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	12	58%	0.09	6	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Lonzo Ball	-0.53	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.53	-0.20	-0.37	-0.05	15	19%	-0.49	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.15	0.02	20	66%	0.32	0	0.00	10	90%	0.06
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.18	0.05	0.02	16	74%	0.21	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.01	10	65%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.27,0.18,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.02	18	65%	0.14	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.00	10	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	7	28%	-0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	29.0	14.8	26.5	1.7	30.0	129.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +18.4%

LAL -3.3%

NOP +22.3%

NOP +5.0%

NOP +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOP	NBA	LAL	NOP	NBA
this game	13.6	13.0	14.7	116.8	116.4	107.5
season	13.7	13.6		105.7	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.8		107.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.3	13.1	13.1	16.2	13.6
NOP	12.1	13.1	13.6	13.2	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	12.5	14.0	-1.47	12.5	13.2	-0.62
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	95	98	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.46	12	-15	27	13.2	16.6	-3.40	13.3	10.8	2.42
Ivica Zubac	15	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	4	-11	12.7	13.7	-0.96	10.4	13.4	-3.02
Julius Randle	77	80	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.38	7	-10	17	13.7	13.1	0.64	13.6	11.4	2.14
Isaiah Thomas	59	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	4	-11	13.1	14.1	-1.06	12.6	13.5	-0.90
Lonzo Ball	100	101	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	13.4	16.0	-2.61	13.0	13.2	-0.25
Brook Lopez	65	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.35	-4	1	-5	14.3	12.4	1.90	12.9	13.1	-0.21
Kyle Kuzma	93	97	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.45	-12	9	-21	14.2	9.0	5.25	13.1	12.2	0.86

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	40	41	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.48	13	-10	23	13.1	12.9	0.13	14.5	13.0	1.50
Rajon Rondo	72	68	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.44	13	-10	23	12.6	13.8	-1.22	14.4	12.1	2.29
Anthony Davis	84	81	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.37	14	-11	25	12.5	14.5	-2.03	14.6	10.4	4.14
E'Twaun Moore	67	63	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.43	7	-4	11	12.7	13.4	-0.66	14.1	12.8	1.34
Jrue Holiday	71	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.33	-2	5	-7	13.1	12.7	0.42	14.0	12.7	1.33
DeAndre Liggins	13	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	0	3	12.7	13.0	-0.34	12.4	13.7	-1.34
Ian Clark	53	53	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	5	-7	13.4	12.6	0.82	12.7	14.4	-1.71
Darius Miller	36	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	5	-7	12.2	13.4	-1.10	13.0	13.9	-0.87
Solomon Hill	30	29	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	10	-17	13.6	12.7	0.88	12.0	14.2	-2.19
Nikola Mirotic	36	35	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.04	-10	13	-23	14.4	12.3	2.08	11.9	14.3	-2.40
Emeka Okafor	48	46	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.10	-12	15	-27	13.2	12.8	0.46	12.3	14.5	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.18,0.1,0.22,0.38,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.55,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, NOP 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.26,0.33,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.34,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.41,1	92.0%
ATL 86, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.47,0.29,0.57,0.42,1	90.9%
POR 107, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.28,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.58,1	90.4%