NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	129		Excitement	4.2 [1008]		MVP	Dwight Howard (CHA): +18.8%
Atlanta Hawks	117		Comeback	1.0 [1062]		LVP	Mike Muscala (ATL): -7.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.23	0.02	0.06	20	69%	0.19	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.01	0.02	9	81%	0.14	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Kemba Walker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.16	0.04	0.08	14	71%	0.13	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	5	92%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Treveon Graham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	8	58%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julyan Stone	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	48%	-0.01	1	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	9	53%	0.06	5	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.01	8	78%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	10	78%	0.15	2	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	18	45%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	5	79%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Andrew White III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.06	-0.01	0.12	18	61%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	31%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	27.7	15.4	26.4	2.3	28.7	129.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +37.0%

CHA +3.6%

ATL -4.4%

CHA +13.2%

CHA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ATL	NBA	CHA	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.5	14.7	125.2	113.6	107.5
season	14.6	14.6		108.7	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		109.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.4	15.3	14.6	14.7	14.5
ATL	14.9	13.0	13.6	12.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	56	57	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.37	32	-20	52	13.1	16.1	-3.04	15.3	11.2	4.06
Nicolas Batum	85	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.17	25	-13	38	13.9	17.4	-3.51	14.2	9.3	4.92
Dwight Howard	68	70	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.10	21	-9	30	14.1	15.3	-1.15	13.8	12.8	0.95
Kemba Walker	73	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-7	26	14.6	14.2	0.46	13.7	12.9	0.79
Dwayne Bacon	20	18	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	14	-16	14.5	14.5	0.07	11.7	13.8	-2.18
Treveon Graham	42	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	17	-22	16.0	13.5	2.50	11.6	14.6	-3.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	32	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	7	-2	14.2	14.6	-0.49	14.8	12.8	2.03
Jeremy Lamb	54	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	17	-22	15.7	13.1	2.58	12.3	14.9	-2.60
Willy Hernangomez	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	9.7	14.7	-4.94	12.0	13.5	-1.51
Julyan Stone	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	9.7	14.7	-4.94	12.0	13.5	-1.51
Frank Kaminsky	43	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.26	-9	21	-30	15.5	13.8	1.74	12.8	13.9	-1.11
Malik Monk	34	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.30	-11	23	-34	15.1	14.2	0.97	12.1	14.1	-1.99

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew White III	38	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.26	8	-20	28	12.3	14.1	-1.82	14.1	14.7	-0.62
Dewayne Dedmon	44	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-10	8	14.7	12.6	2.08	14.9	14.2	0.78
Tyler Cavanaugh	33	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-13	14	12.7	13.8	-1.18	14.2	14.6	-0.42
Damion Lee	56	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-15	18	12.0	15.2	-3.17	15.4	13.4	1.99
Dennis Schroder	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-1	-10	13.7	13.1	0.61	15.1	13.8	1.33
Taurean Prince	76	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	-6	0	13.6	13.0	0.68	14.7	13.8	0.87
Mike Muscala	41	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-2	-8	12.9	13.9	-1.02	14.6	14.4	0.23
Isaiah Taylor	49	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-11	10	13.3	13.6	-0.23	13.7	15.2	-1.57
John Collins	62	62	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	7	-26	13.9	12.9	1.02	14.2	15.0	-0.84
Tyler Dorsey	59	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.14	-23	11	-34	14.7	11.7	3.00	13.8	15.4	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, LAC 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
WAS 98, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	95.1%
IND 121, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%