NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	101		Excitement	7.3 [397]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +22.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.5 [353]		LVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): -22.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22	0.19	0.06	0.03	12	83%	0.28	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	11	70%	0.19	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	-0.02	8	72%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	48%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	45%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.17	-0.06	-0.02	11	9%	-0.20	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Victor Oladipo	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.22	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	21	24%	-0.18	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.02	0.04	10	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	11	56%	0.06	5	-0.16	10	80%	0.02
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	22	56%	0.07	8	-0.23	8	87%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	29.2	15.0	32.7	2.0	37.7	144.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -8.1%

IND +1.4%

IND +13.4%

IND +33.4%

IND +10.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	13.2	14.7	101.0	99.0	107.5
season	14.8	13.9		108.3	108.1
opponent	14.7	15.0		103.8	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.6	16.8	13.8	16.6	15.7
PHI	12.1	13.2	14.4	13.3	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	72	69	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-11	25	15.2	17.0	-1.86	13.4	12.9	0.43
Myles Turner	63	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	-10	23	15.3	16.3	-0.99	13.2	13.4	-0.22
Thaddeus Young	66	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	1	1	15.8	15.5	0.26	13.3	13.0	0.32
Glenn Robinson III	26	26	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.18	16	-13	29	14.0	16.3	-2.25	12.8	13.4	-0.52
Cory Joseph	71	69	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.32	-1	4	-5	15.0	17.4	-2.46	13.4	12.9	0.43
Trevor Booker	36	35	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.35	-3	6	-9	15.2	16.0	-0.79	14.3	12.7	1.59
Lance Stephenson	36	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	6	-9	16.3	15.4	0.95	13.5	13.1	0.43
Bojan Bogdanovic	53	52	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.46	-13	16	-29	16.8	14.5	2.32	13.2	13.3	-0.08
Domantas Sabonis	21	22	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.04	0	3	-3	16.4	15.5	0.86	12.6	13.4	-0.77
Darren Collison	42	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	7	-11	16.9	14.8	2.12	12.7	13.6	-0.91
Al Jefferson	14	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.00	-6	9	-15	17.2	15.5	1.76	11.8	13.5	-1.68

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	77	76	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-18	33	13.0	14.1	-1.10	16.6	12.7	3.88
Amir Johnson	19	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-4	5	14.2	13.0	1.21	17.3	15.3	2.00
Ersan Ilyasova	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.10	-3	0	-3	12.7	13.7	-1.03	15.2	16.1	-0.86
Joel Embiid	69	69	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-4	5	13.1	13.5	-0.38	15.2	16.9	-1.70
T.J. McConnell	47	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	11	-25	13.2	13.3	-0.12	14.5	16.7	-2.16
JJ Redick	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.34	0	-3	3	12.5	14.5	-2.05	15.5	16.1	-0.60
Marco Belinelli	53	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	5	-13	14.1	12.2	1.86	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Ben Simmons	59	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.46	-2	-1	-1	13.5	12.8	0.73	15.9	15.3	0.58
Dario Saric	65	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	2	-7	13.6	12.6	0.94	16.1	14.9	1.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.15,0.2,0.29,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, DET 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.52,0.37,0.14,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	92.7%
HOU 86, MEM 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	92.3%
POR 101, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.25,0.15,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.02,0,0	92.3%