NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	107		Excitement	8.5 [198]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +35.1%
Golden State Warriors	110		Comeback	15.5 [203]		LVP	Quinn Cook (GSW): -14.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	7	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08	0.10	-0.02	0.00	20	59%	0.14	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.02
Tony Parker	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	65%	0.13	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Bryn Forbes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.1,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	12	46%	-0.01	1	0.01	2	100%	0.01
Joffrey Lauvergne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.01	14	46%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.11	-0.01	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.22,0.38,0.38,0.35	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.01	26	63%	0.45	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	68%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	45%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	46%	0.11	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	16	38%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Quinn Cook	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	29.2	14.8	28.4	1.8	33.2	137.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.5%

GSW +12.3%

GSW +4.2%

GSW +0.7%

SAS -3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	15.3	13.1	14.7	107.0	106.8	107.5
season	15.5	13.7		106.7	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.5		105.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.2	14.3	14.5	18.5	15.3
GSW	12.5	14.0	12.1	14.2	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	59	56	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-7	11	15.2	15.3	-0.14	14.2	11.8	2.42
Bryn Forbes	18	18	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.00	5	-8	13	14.4	15.4	-0.99	10.5	13.7	-3.21
Joffrey Lauvergne	26	28	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.01	3	-6	9	13.5	15.9	-2.33	12.6	13.4	-0.79
Rudy Gay	34	38	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-4	5	14.3	15.8	-1.46	12.6	13.5	-0.94
Tony Parker	39	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	0	-3	15.3	15.2	0.08	12.2	13.8	-1.65
Manu Ginobili	15	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	4	-11	14.0	15.5	-1.48	12.8	13.2	-0.45
Dejounte Murray	59	60	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-2	1	15.5	14.9	0.61	14.0	11.9	2.13
Kyle Anderson	68	68	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	15.6	14.6	0.93	13.8	11.9	1.82
Patty Mills	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.43	-2	-1	-1	15.8	14.4	1.36	13.8	12.2	1.59
LaMarcus Aldridge	74	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.41	-6	3	-9	15.9	13.5	2.33	13.4	12.6	0.79
Danny Green	45	49	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.55	-7	4	-11	15.3	15.2	0.05	11.6	14.6	-3.04

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	77	74	1.02	-0.52	1.55	0.47	19	-16	35	13.4	12.5	0.92	15.9	13.6	2.27
Draymond Green	77	74	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.50	17	-14	31	13.2	13.0	0.25	15.9	13.6	2.27
Shaun Livingston	53	51	0.66	-0.15	0.81	0.57	3	0	3	12.5	13.9	-1.39	15.3	15.2	0.03
Nick Young	58	56	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.55	-2	5	-7	13.0	13.4	-0.37	15.2	15.3	-0.06
Kevin Durant	82	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	3	-3	12.8	14.6	-1.79	15.5	14.1	1.39
JaVale McGee	36	37	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	-1	5	13.4	13.0	0.33	15.1	15.4	-0.33
Stephen Curry	6	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	4	-5	12.5	13.2	-0.69	15.5	15.2	0.26
Quinn Cook	44	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	2	-1	14.0	12.5	1.57	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Kevon Looney	31	30	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	9	-15	14.7	12.5	2.28	14.6	15.6	-0.99
Zaza Pachulia	24	23	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	-0.12	-4	7	-11	12.2	13.4	-1.22	13.7	15.7	-2.03
Omri Casspi	27	26	-0.52	1.02	-1.55	-0.05	-16	19	-35	12.5	13.4	-0.90	13.6	15.9	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.15,0.34,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.1,0.29,0.43,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	90.6%
SAS 95, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.32,0.37,0.55,0.58,1	90.3%
LAL 92, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.68,0.85,1	89.7%