NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	110		Excitement	6.3 [598]		MVP	Dillon Brooks (MEM): +52.7%
Chicago Bulls	119		Comeback	1.3 [894]		LVP	Ben McLemore (MEM): -15.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.53	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.57,0.54,0.53	0.21	0.29	-0.02	18	72%	0.53	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kobi Simmons	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.06	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	10	52%	0.13	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	79%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Deyonta Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myke Henry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	38%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.03	6	58%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	11	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.00
Xavier Rathan-Mayes	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	12	35%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.10	0.02	11	63%	0.06	6	-0.21	5	80%	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.04	0.13	-0.00	4	73%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	5	140%	0.15	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.09	-0.01	12	58%	0.17	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	11	66%	0.21	6	-0.12	10	80%	0.02
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	5	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	-0.02	0.06	14	69%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.04	14	62%	0.08	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	-0.03	8	6%	-0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	29.4	15.4	28.4	2.5	35.5	136.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +9.5%

CHI +9.6%

CHI +23.2%

CHI +2.3%

CHI +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	13.8	14.7	111.1	119.0	107.5
season	15.4	14.2		103.4	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.6		110.2	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.8	14.7	16.8	13.5	15.2
CHI	13.6	13.5	13.2	14.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivan Rabb	20	21	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.09	0	-9	9	16.3	14.9	1.45	15.1	13.4	1.69
Deyonta Davis	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-12	15	13.0	16.6	-3.56	15.5	12.7	2.81
Dillon Brooks	61	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-10	11	13.9	17.2	-3.28	14.0	13.4	0.57
Kobi Simmons	58	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-10	11	15.0	15.5	-0.51	14.5	12.7	1.80
Wayne Selden	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	14.5	15.5	-1.07	14.8	13.2	1.62
Xavier Rathan-Mayes	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-9	9	15.6	14.7	0.88	14.1	13.4	0.67
Myke Henry	36	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	2	-13	16.6	14.4	2.14	12.9	14.3	-1.44
Marc Gasol	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-10	1	-11	16.3	13.7	2.61	12.8	15.1	-2.26
Ben McLemore	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	15.2	15.2	-0.02	13.1	16.3	-3.24
JaMychal Green	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.09	-17	8	-25	15.9	14.2	1.62	12.6	15.2	-2.58

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	72	68	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-10	29	12.8	16.2	-3.36	15.9	13.6	2.25
Lauri Markkanen	74	72	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.14	18	-9	27	12.6	17.0	-4.43	15.9	13.3	2.56
Kris Dunn	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.09	12	-3	15	12.9	15.5	-2.62	16.0	13.5	2.47
Cristiano Felicio	36	34	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-1	11	14.8	13.2	1.68	15.9	14.8	1.05
Justin Holiday	35	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	3	3	11.4	15.0	-3.59	17.9	13.7	4.24
Bobby Portis	64	65	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	10	-11	13.2	14.8	-1.68	14.8	15.9	-1.05
David Nwaba	50	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	14	-19	14.3	13.2	1.16	13.6	16.9	-3.27
Cameron Payne	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	12	-15	15.5	12.9	2.62	13.5	16.0	-2.47
Denzel Valentine	43	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	11	-13	16.6	11.6	4.91	13.7	16.3	-2.64
Noah Vonleh	26	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	18	-27	17.0	12.6	4.43	13.3	15.9	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.84,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.95,0.79,0.78,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 94, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.84,1	93.3%
ATL 120, BOS 129	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.85,0.69,0.59,0.66,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.96,1	93.3%
NYK 74, BOS 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.9,1	93.1%