NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	113		Excitement	10.5 [47]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +20.8%
Washington Wizards	117		Comeback	1.6 [748]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (MIA): -24.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	0.01	15	57%	0.18	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.05
Dwyane Wade	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.02	18	52%	0.23	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.12
Goran Dragic	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	15	48%	0.11	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
James Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bam Adebayo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.10	0.00	9	73%	0.10	3	-0.15	4	75%	-0.02
Justise Winslow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.04	-0.11	0.00	11	60%	0.19	2	-0.26	3	67%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25	-0.10	-0.17	-0.02	7	21%	-0.15	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.00	0.01	16	94%	0.42	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.01	8	75%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	12	59%	0.19	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.07
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	59%	0.13	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.03
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	64%	0.09	2	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.05	-0.01	5	43%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.07
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	8	40%	0.06	2	-0.15	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	28.7	15.4	23.6	2.5	31.4	2.5	25.3	158.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +57.4%

MIA -16.6%

WAS +8.1%

WAS +1.9%

MIA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	WAS	NBA	MIA	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	15.6	14.7	109.7	113.6	107.5
season	15.1	14.8		105.4	108.2
opponent	14.7	14.6		107.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	16.9	13.9	16.1	16.3	12.0	15.3
WAS	15.1	15.5	14.5	18.8	13.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	51	49	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.28	18	-22	40	14.2	16.4	-2.19	15.8	15.4	0.43
Rodney McGruder	36	36	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.22	8	-12	20	15.9	15.0	0.90	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Bam Adebayo	8	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-3	2	12.4	15.5	-3.17	16.0	15.5	0.46
Justise Winslow	74	75	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.47	12	-16	28	14.4	17.6	-3.13	16.1	14.2	1.91
Dwyane Wade	57	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.51	12	-16	28	13.6	17.4	-3.82	15.5	15.7	-0.17
Luke Babbitt	9	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	7	-18	19.6	14.9	4.66	17.3	15.4	1.91
James Johnson	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.19	-14	10	-24	17.9	14.3	3.51	14.7	15.9	-1.18
Tyler Johnson	77	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.43	5	-9	14	15.5	14.6	0.92	14.9	17.4	-2.56
Goran Dragic	67	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	8	-20	15.2	15.4	-0.18	16.0	14.6	1.42
Hassan Whiteside	40	41	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.07	-17	13	-30	16.9	14.3	2.66	15.5	15.6	-0.06
Josh Richardson	68	67	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.04	-20	16	-36	15.8	14.4	1.41	15.3	16.1	-0.78

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	83	82	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.44	15	-11	26	15.5	15.7	-0.16	15.7	13.6	2.17
Tomas Satoransky	76	77	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.12	22	-18	40	15.4	16.0	-0.53	15.4	15.0	0.40
Markieff Morris	80	79	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.26	16	-12	28	15.4	16.0	-0.61	15.7	14.0	1.75
Marcin Gortat	46	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-4	12	15.2	15.8	-0.60	16.2	14.7	1.50
Kelly Oubre Jr.	54	55	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.48	-10	14	-24	15.7	15.4	0.28	14.4	16.4	-1.97
Otto Porter Jr.	62	61	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.01	4	0	4	15.5	15.6	-0.06	16.0	14.2	1.79
Mike Scott	50	51	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	3	-2	16.4	14.8	1.65	15.0	15.6	-0.52
Jason Smith	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	5	-6	16.0	15.5	0.46	12.7	15.5	-2.78
Ian Mahinmi	9	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.12	-10	14	-24	14.6	15.7	-1.11	15.3	15.3	0.04
Jodie Meeks	21	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	12	-20	15.0	15.7	-0.78	13.4	15.8	-2.46
Ramon Sessions	27	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.26	-17	21	-38	16.0	15.4	0.53	14.1	15.8	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.74,0.57,0.43,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.55,0.78,0.97,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, NOH 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.85,0.99,1	90.0%
SAS 100, SAC 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.7,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.95,0.54,0.45,0.71,0.84,0.84,1	89.8%
DAL 121, IND 130	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.72,0.54,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.96,1	89.1%