NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	99		Excitement	7.6 [358]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (PHI): +32.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	10.5 [219]		LVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): -16.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.3	0.16	0.09	-0.05	21	65%	0.33	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.08
Frank Kaminsky	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	12	63%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Jeremy Lamb	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Treveon Graham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	6	43%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.06	-0.05	0.02	9	70%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	7	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	12%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	9	45%	0.02	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	4	20%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.20	0.01	11	75%	0.32	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.09	0.02	11	69%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.07	0.03	10	67%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	62%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	19	47%	0.04	4	-0.21	11	55%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	27.0	14.6	29.6	2.4	32.4	134.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +55.2%

CHA -5.3%

PHI +11.4%

CHA -12.3%

PHI +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.4	14.7	101.0	114.6	107.5
season	14.6	13.9		108.7	108.1
opponent	14.7	14.5		103.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.8	14.9	14.5	16.0	15.3
PHI	14.2	16.4	13.7	13.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Treveon Graham	15	15	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.05	9	-20	29	15.1	15.3	-0.27	18.5	13.6	4.92
Michael Carter-Williams	25	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-10	9	16.5	14.9	1.64	15.5	14.0	1.54
Frank Kaminsky	53	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-5	-1	15.2	15.4	-0.15	15.0	13.7	1.35
Willy Hernangomez	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	15.9	15.0	0.92	14.4	14.4	-0.02
Jeremy Lamb	40	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.02	-8	-3	-5	15.5	15.2	0.30	14.3	14.4	-0.16
Dwight Howard	51	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-6	1	15.4	15.2	0.20	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Nicolas Batum	76	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	1	-13	15.0	16.4	-1.44	14.4	14.4	-0.01
Marvin Williams	54	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	-2	-7	15.3	15.3	0.04	13.4	15.6	-2.12
Kemba Walker	79	77	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	1	-13	14.8	17.5	-2.77	14.0	15.8	-1.75
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	64	65	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.30	-7	-4	-3	15.5	15.0	0.45	14.0	15.3	-1.29

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	70	73	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.16	19	-8	27	14.3	14.7	-0.37	15.5	14.6	0.93
Joel Embiid	63	65	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.15	19	-8	27	14.5	14.2	0.22	15.6	14.8	0.81
JJ Redick	66	68	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.03	19	-8	27	14.0	15.2	-1.14	14.7	16.7	-2.07
Ben Simmons	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	1	9	14.0	15.3	-1.32	15.3	15.2	0.11
Ersan Ilyasova	48	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	4	3	13.6	15.1	-1.48	14.2	16.3	-2.10
Dario Saric	56	56	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.08	7	4	3	14.9	13.6	1.30	16.3	13.9	2.39
T.J. McConnell	40	41	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.12	1	10	-9	14.9	14.0	0.97	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Marco Belinelli	34	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	20	-29	15.4	13.8	1.63	16.8	14.6	2.20
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	11	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	15	-19	13.5	14.5	-0.95	13.4	15.5	-2.18
Richaun Holmes	23	24	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.03	-14	25	-39	14.7	14.3	0.41	14.9	15.4	-0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.22,0.15,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.53,0.59,0.72,0.68,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.67,0.85,1	91.8%
IND 110, BKN 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.16,0.23,0.29,0.21,0.19,0.3,0.14,0.13,0.18,0.34,0.53,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.69,0.92,1	91.5%
CLE 86, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.35,0.25,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.09,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.54,0.72,0.61,0.72,0.98,1,1	90.9%