NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	87		Excitement	4.5 [950]		MVP	Stanley Johnson (DET): +14.5%
Detroit Pistons	110		Comeback	2.1 [653]		LVP	Jabari Parker (MIL): -12.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.00	0.01	10	68%	0.12	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.02
Thon Maker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	10	100%	0.04
John Henson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Munford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Sterling Brown	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	13	42%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	4	-0.10	2	0%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	11	68%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	14	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	53%	-0.00	1	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.08	0.00	0.09	9	72%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	12	40%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.3	14.6	33.3	1.8	25.4	126.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +12.5%

MIL -8.6%

DET +39.7%

DET +5.3%

DET +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DET	NBA	MIL	DET	NBA
this game	15.7	16.0	14.7	95.6	120.9	107.5
season	14.3	14.9		108.5	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.4		106.3	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.1	16.4	15.5	15.9	15.7
DET	16.2	16.4	13.9	17.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Xavier Munford	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-23	23	15.2	15.8	-0.54	17.4	15.7	1.74
D.J. Wilson	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-23	23	15.2	15.8	-0.54	17.4	15.7	1.74
Tyler Zeller	19	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-19	15	15.9	15.6	0.32	16.0	15.9	0.06
Sterling Brown	46	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-20	17	16.3	15.0	1.28	17.4	14.4	3.04
John Henson	47	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-15	7	15.9	15.4	0.50	16.7	15.2	1.58
Khris Middleton	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-12	1	15.6	15.9	-0.36	16.4	15.2	1.18
Thon Maker	22	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-14	5	15.2	15.8	-0.61	13.1	16.8	-3.72
Sean Kilpatrick	50	49	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-5	-13	15.5	16.0	-0.47	15.8	16.2	-0.44
Eric Bledsoe	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-8	-7	15.6	15.9	-0.36	16.4	15.3	1.14
Jason Terry	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	-5	-13	15.7	15.7	-0.06	14.2	17.2	-3.09
Giannis Antetokounmpo	57	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.04	-13	-10	-3	16.3	14.7	1.53	16.5	15.1	1.43
Jabari Parker	38	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	-7	-9	14.9	16.2	-1.28	13.5	17.6	-4.07

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stanley Johnson	57	58	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.46	36	-13	49	14.8	17.9	-3.17	16.0	15.2	0.80
Reggie Bullock	49	49	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	13	-3	15.8	16.2	-0.44	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Dwight Buycks	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.31	20	3	17	15.3	16.6	-1.27	15.7	15.6	0.09
Andre Drummond	50	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	13	-3	16.0	16.0	0.01	15.9	15.5	0.42
Anthony Tolliver	36	38	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.48	25	-2	27	15.3	16.4	-1.12	16.3	15.3	1.03
Blake Griffin	47	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	17	-11	16.5	15.4	1.06	16.1	15.3	0.75
Eric Moreland	41	41	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.16	13	10	3	16.0	16.0	-0.01	15.5	15.9	-0.42
Ish Smith	44	45	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	20	-17	16.6	15.3	1.27	15.6	15.7	-0.09
Langston Galloway	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.19	13	10	3	16.2	15.8	0.44	16.0	15.4	0.62
Henry Ellenson	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	31	-39	16.0	16.0	0.05	10.0	16.2	-6.17
Luke Kennard	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	31	-39	16.0	16.0	0.05	10.0	16.2	-6.17
James Ennis III	26	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	28	-33	18.5	14.9	3.62	16.6	15.3	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 84, UTA 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIN 85, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
PHI 78, DET 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%