NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	85		Excitement	4.2 [954]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +14.1%
Indiana Pacers	109		Comeback	1.7 [839]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -20.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.03	17	69%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
William Avery	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	7	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	9	57%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	-0.09	9	5%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Malik Sealy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	9	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.19	-0.04	-0.02	21	33%	-0.12	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.03	0.06	16	82%	0.20	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.00	0.06	15	76%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.01	0.06	13	68%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.7	26.9	15.7	23.5	1.7	25.0	116.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +48.9%

IND +1.9%

IND +2.2%

MIN -2.8%

MIN -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	15.2	86.7	111.2	101.7
season	15.1	15.4		103.5	106.5
opponent	15.1	15.7		101.8	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.7	16.1	14.6	14.0	14.3
IND	15.0	13.9	14.8	16.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
William Avery	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-26	28	10.7	14.6	-3.89	19.4	14.7	4.69
Dean Garrett	13	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-20	16	14.8	14.2	0.52	15.1	15.1	0.01
Bobby Jackson	40	39	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.23	-11	-13	2	13.4	14.9	-1.55	16.8	13.9	2.95
Tom Hammonds	17	18	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-23	22	14.9	14.2	0.68	15.6	15.0	0.59
Joe Smith	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-16	8	14.0	14.6	-0.65	15.1	15.0	0.07
Malik Sealy	43	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-19	14	13.5	15.0	-1.48	14.3	15.7	-1.45
Sam Mitchell	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.14	-13	-11	-2	14.4	14.2	0.18	15.3	14.9	0.34
Rasho Nesterovic	26	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-17	10	14.5	14.3	0.20	15.7	14.9	0.79
Anthony Peeler	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.37	-23	-1	-22	15.4	13.1	2.32	15.4	14.7	0.71
Kevin Garnett	71	71	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.07	-13	-11	-2	14.4	14.1	0.28	14.4	16.9	-2.46
Wally Szczerbiak	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-6	-12	14.1	14.8	-0.75	15.1	14.9	0.20
Terrell Brandon	68	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	-5	-14	14.9	13.0	1.90	14.0	17.5	-3.45

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	73	74	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.07	17	7	10	14.9	15.7	-0.82	14.4	14.1	0.31
Jalen Rose	78	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	10	4	15.2	14.7	0.40	13.9	16.0	-2.08
Sam Perkins	43	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.38	23	1	22	15.4	14.8	0.54	14.7	14.1	0.60
Dale Davis	44	45	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	17	-10	13.8	16.1	-2.36	14.8	13.9	0.89
Mark Jackson	44	45	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	18	-12	14.5	15.6	-1.08	13.8	14.7	-0.87
Travis Best	54	53	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.28	18	6	12	15.6	14.5	1.08	14.7	13.8	0.87
Austin Croshere	49	49	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.38	21	3	18	15.9	14.3	1.61	14.3	14.3	-0.02
Al Harrington	45	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.27	17	7	10	15.3	14.9	0.36	15.0	13.8	1.18
Rik Smits	48	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	21	-18	14.2	15.9	-1.77	14.5	14.2	0.31
Jonathan Bender	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	28	-32	18.6	14.9	3.72	9.0	14.5	-5.54
Zan Tabak	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	26	-28	19.4	14.7	4.69	10.7	14.6	-3.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 85, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
PHI 97, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ATL 83, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%