inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 102 Excitement7.2 [428] MVPJames Johnson (MIA): +23.8%
Philadelphia 76ers 104 Comeback39.0 [100] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -29.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Johnson0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.210.040.011088%0.2400.00580%0.01
Hassan Whiteside0.110,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.110.110.020.021070%0.1100.00367%-0.03
Tyler Johnson0.090,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.090.070.030.01775%0.171-0.092100%0.03
Goran Dragic0.070,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.040.021453%0.0700.00667%0.01
Luke Babbitt0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.023100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Josh Richardson0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02560%0.022-0.0100%0.00
Bam Adebayo-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00330%-0.0300.00475%-0.02
Wayne Ellington-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09-0.03-0.06-0.01938%-0.0900.003100%0.01
Justise Winslow-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.08-0.15-0.02330%-0.112-0.10475%0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.07,-0.29-0.17-0.15-0.031329%-0.174-0.1220%-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.130.130.080.050.011271%0.222-0.0900%0.00
Trevor Booker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.000.09-0.01664%0.132-0.03250%0.00
Amir Johnson0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00283%0.031-0.01250%-0.01
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02758%0.031-0.02560%-0.03
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0-0.00-0.110.140.031937%0.053-0.0500%0.00
Dario Saric0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.050.000.071263%0.023-0.056100%0.02
Robert Covington0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.05-0.090.01-0.041329%-0.031-0.02580%-0.01
T.J. McConnell0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.01-0.00617%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ben Simmons0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,-0.13-0.13-0.03-0.12-0.031551%0.164-0.30540%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.40.832.314.728.02.041.5143.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHI +37.5%
MIA -5.2%
PHI +45.8%
MIA -25.9%
MIA -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAPHINBAMIAPHINBA
this game14.615.714.7106.2110.6107.5
season15.113.9105.4108.1
opponent14.714.6103.8105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.913.417.315.014.6
PHI15.916.014.716.315.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington64620.07-0.570.64-0.3414-163014.415.0-0.5515.017.0-1.98
James Johnson4341-0.08-0.420.35-0.02-20-215.613.81.7714.916.3-1.41
Hassan Whiteside5656-0.17-0.330.16-0.325-71214.015.4-1.4116.914.12.80
Luke Babbitt1718-0.19-0.310.110.07-97-1615.114.50.5515.715.7-0.07
Justise Winslow4846-0.21-0.290.09-0.12-31-414.015.2-1.1216.515.01.52
Goran Dragic6465-0.22-0.280.06-0.282-4614.315.1-0.7816.214.71.45
Tyler Johnson5655-0.23-0.270.04-0.416-81414.215.2-1.0216.314.91.32
Dwyane Wade4744-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.32-31-414.914.40.4815.116.2-1.10
Bam Adebayo3937-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.11-1210-2215.713.91.8314.416.6-2.17
Josh Richardson4646-0.600.10-0.70-0.37-86-1414.814.40.3415.515.9-0.35

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richaun Holmes56570.75-0.250.990.634-2615.116.6-1.5214.415.0-0.62
JJ Redick70710.50-0.000.500.413-1415.516.4-0.9314.215.6-1.40
Ben Simmons71730.480.020.460.364-2615.416.9-1.5214.614.7-0.12
Marco Belinelli53560.350.150.210.273-1416.115.20.8914.414.8-0.42
Trevor Booker28290.260.240.030.154-2616.515.41.1615.314.30.96
Robert Covington51510.230.27-0.040.2011015.116.4-1.3215.114.01.10
Dario Saric65670.160.34-0.180.1311015.616.0-0.4014.315.3-0.96
T.J. McConnell3838-0.060.56-0.620.17-810-1816.715.01.7014.614.60.00
Amir Johnson3838-0.180.68-0.86-0.12-24-616.615.11.5215.314.21.13


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.4,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.9,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 100, DAL 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.36,0.35,0.54,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.98,191.2%
CHA 87, BOS 900.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.26,0.33,0.53,0.76,0.84,0.76,0.95,191.1%
WAS 96, NOK 970.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.38,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.72,191.1%