NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	115		Excitement	6.1 [634]		MVP	Treveon Graham (CHA): +18.0%
Phoenix Suns	110		Comeback	27.5 [130]		LVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): -9.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Treveon Graham	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.10	0.10	0.01	10	71%	0.19	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	5	80%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.11	0.00	7	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.02	15	63%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Dwight Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	15	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	16	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.03	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	19	42%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	7	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	14	66%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.01	-0.03	10	52%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Dragan Bender	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	-0.02	0.07	9	100%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	14	64%	0.12	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.01	0.07	14	82%	0.12	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	29.4	15.3	29.5	2.4	30.5	132.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX -7.0%

CHA +9.3%

CHA +17.7%

CHA +30.6%

PHX -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	13.8	14.7	115.0	114.6	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		108.7	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.5		111.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.8	15.3	15.7	14.5	15.5
PHX	13.8	13.4	14.3	13.8	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	46	46	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.15	25	-20	45	14.6	16.3	-1.72	15.5	12.2	3.32
Cody Zeller	28	28	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.22	22	-17	39	14.0	16.1	-2.14	15.6	13.1	2.53
Treveon Graham	48	45	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.23	15	-10	25	15.6	15.5	0.04	13.5	14.1	-0.57
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	71	68	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-3	11	15.9	14.6	1.34	13.9	13.6	0.24
Michael Carter-Williams	39	37	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.26	7	-2	9	14.2	16.4	-2.15	14.7	13.3	1.40
Kemba Walker	73	70	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.16	-12	17	-29	16.0	14.3	1.70	12.8	16.6	-3.84
Nicolas Batum	71	67	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.18	-13	18	-31	16.0	14.4	1.59	13.2	15.3	-2.15
Frank Kaminsky	44	42	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	16	-27	15.8	15.4	0.42	14.1	13.6	0.54
Dwight Howard	80	77	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.17	-16	21	-37	15.9	13.9	1.99	13.2	16.4	-3.25

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Warren	74	78	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.19	14	-19	33	12.8	17.1	-4.31	15.9	14.1	1.80
Josh Jackson	54	58	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.19	14	-19	33	12.4	15.6	-3.25	15.4	15.8	-0.38
Dragan Bender	54	57	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.21	14	-19	33	12.8	15.1	-2.37	15.6	15.5	0.13
Devin Booker	63	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-6	7	13.7	13.9	-0.19	15.7	15.3	0.37
Alex Len	22	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	3	-11	13.5	13.9	-0.46	16.7	15.2	1.59
Tyson Chandler	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-2	-1	14.5	12.2	2.21	15.1	16.6	-1.50
Tyler Ulis	33	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	1	-7	13.9	13.7	0.19	15.3	15.7	-0.37
Jared Dudley	42	43	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.14	-19	14	-33	15.1	12.8	2.37	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Troy Daniels	48	50	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.33	-13	8	-21	14.7	13.0	1.71	15.8	15.3	0.52
Danuel House	22	22	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.18	-19	14	-33	17.1	12.8	4.31	14.1	15.9	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.83,0.86,0.75,0.81,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.27,0.14,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 112, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0	92.0%
HOU 93, MEM 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.67,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	91.1%
DET 116, MIL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.82,0.72,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.28,0.23,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.16,0	90.9%