NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	126		Excitement	5.9 [661]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +34.2%
Charlotte Hornets	133		Comeback	1.1 [904]		LVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): -7.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.20	0.10	0.01	21	66%	0.32	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.02
Lance Stephenson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.03	-0.03	11	62%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Myles Turner	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	14	63%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	8	71%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.08	-0.03	0.07	10	69%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Joe Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.20	0.13	-0.01	22	71%	0.44	4	-0.10	14	100%	0.08
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.25	0.03	0.03	18	82%	0.26	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.11	0.00	9	67%	0.20	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.03	-0.02	8	65%	0.12	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	75%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	1	62%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.6	27.6	14.4	29.3	1.7	36.4	137.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +36.4%

CHA +1.5%

CHA +15.7%

IND -6.8%

CHA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CHA	NBA	IND	CHA	NBA
this game	13.4	15.1	14.7	124.8	131.7	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		108.3	108.7
opponent	14.5	15.0		108.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	12.9	13.5	12.2	13.4
CHA	12.7	17.1	15.9	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	58	58	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-5	3	14.9	11.3	3.58	15.5	14.6	0.96
Al Jefferson	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-7	7	8.0	13.5	-5.52	22.0	15.0	7.03
Joe Young	8	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-7	7	12.1	13.5	-1.39	18.4	14.8	3.55
Myles Turner	67	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-8	9	13.7	12.8	0.97	14.9	15.6	-0.72
Darren Collison	62	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	13.7	13.0	0.70	16.0	13.7	2.29
Victor Oladipo	80	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-7	7	13.3	13.8	-0.45	14.2	18.6	-4.37
Bojan Bogdanovic	69	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-3	-1	13.6	13.0	0.55	14.8	15.8	-1.08
TJ Leaf	19	18	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	0	-7	12.8	13.5	-0.69	15.7	15.0	0.75
Domantas Sabonis	34	35	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	1	-9	13.1	13.5	-0.39	15.1	15.1	0.01
Cory Joseph	55	56	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.36	-5	-2	-3	13.0	13.9	-0.97	14.6	15.7	-1.05
Lance Stephenson	51	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	-1	-5	12.1	14.7	-2.64	15.3	14.9	0.33

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	53	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.40	4	3	1	15.4	14.8	0.64	12.7	14.2	-1.47
Kemba Walker	88	88	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-1	9	15.0	15.7	-0.67	13.6	12.1	1.53
Cody Zeller	33	34	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-4	15	15.3	15.0	0.33	13.3	13.5	-0.21
Treveon Graham	34	34	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	5	-3	13.2	16.1	-2.82	12.5	13.9	-1.41
Nicolas Batum	75	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.21	1	6	-5	14.0	18.2	-4.20	13.2	14.2	-1.00
Jeremy Lamb	45	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	4	-1	16.8	13.8	3.01	12.7	13.9	-1.16
Frank Kaminsky	61	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	-3	13	15.8	14.1	1.67	14.4	11.8	2.58
Dwight Howard	66	66	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	11	-15	15.4	14.6	0.78	13.6	13.1	0.45
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	50	50	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	7	-7	15.0	15.2	-0.18	14.0	12.8	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.93,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.53,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.97,1	93.7%
LAL 80, HOU 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.2%
CHA 95, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%