NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	109		Excitement	5.3 [778]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +30.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	100		Comeback	1.5 [915]		LVP	Tyrone Wallace (LAC): -13.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.27	0.04	0.00	19	77%	0.34	2	-0.04	14	86%	0.04
Montrezl Harrell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	6	83%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milos Teodosic	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	15	58%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Sam Dekker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Wesley Johnson	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Tyrone Wallace	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	10	20%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarell Martin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	11	74%	0.21	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	10	71%	0.12	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Ivan Rabb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	10	68%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	9	60%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.03	0.02	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	14	45%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Myke Henry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	31%	-0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.5	32.2	14.5	26.6	1.8	29.5	132.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +16.1%

LAC +5.3%

MEM -7.8%

LAC +34.0%

LAC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	13.1	15.5	14.7	107.9	100.0	107.5
season	14.2	15.4		109.2	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.6		109.8	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	12.0	13.9	13.7	13.1	13.1
MEM	15.2	14.3	17.6	15.2	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-10	29	12.5	14.8	-2.27	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Tyrone Wallace	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-1	11	13.0	13.5	-0.50	15.7	15.1	0.69
Montrezl Harrell	36	35	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	13.0	13.2	-0.19	16.7	14.9	1.84
Blake Griffin	79	79	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.02	10	-1	11	13.1	13.5	-0.39	15.1	17.3	-2.24
Wesley Johnson	79	79	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	4	1	13.1	13.2	-0.10	14.8	18.3	-3.50
Sindarius Thornwell	25	24	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	10	-11	13.6	13.0	0.55	17.2	15.0	2.17
Sam Dekker	22	21	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	10	-11	13.5	13.1	0.39	17.3	15.1	2.24
DeAndre Jordan	65	65	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	4	1	13.2	13.0	0.19	14.9	16.7	-1.84
Milos Teodosic	58	57	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.20	-6	15	-21	14.0	12.0	1.96	15.7	15.3	0.46

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	47	49	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-14	19	15.8	15.3	0.46	14.2	12.2	2.05
Dillon Brooks	74	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-7	5	15.0	17.0	-2.05	13.7	11.7	1.97
Mario Chalmers	66	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-12	15	15.4	15.8	-0.37	13.3	12.8	0.49
Marc Gasol	77	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.2	16.7	-1.47	13.3	12.8	0.47
Wayne Selden	64	62	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-7	-2	-5	14.7	17.1	-2.40	13.3	12.9	0.45
Myke Henry	49	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	15.3	15.8	-0.50	13.1	13.2	-0.19
Andrew Harrison	54	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	4	-17	17.0	13.7	3.30	12.6	13.7	-1.11
Deyonta Davis	26	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	1	-11	15.4	15.6	-0.13	10.8	13.9	-3.17
Ivan Rabb	43	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.14	-10	1	-11	16.7	14.6	2.07	12.5	13.6	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.4%
ATL 83, CHI 67	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%
CLE 105, DET 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.21,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%