NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	126		Excitement	9.0 [153]		MVP	Jeff Teague (MIN): +22.8%
LA Clippers	118		Comeback	1.7 [541]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -11.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23	0.16	0.08	0.02	14	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	17	94%	0.09
Nemanja Bjelica	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.03	0.17	-0.01	13	60%	0.28	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.02	0.00	28	62%	0.31	3	-0.14	8	62%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.00	5	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	7	46%	-0.02	2	-0.09	10	90%	0.05

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.09	-0.03	15	62%	0.25	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.19	1	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Milos Teodosic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.04	-0.00	9	75%	0.24	3	-0.14	2	100%	0.03
Willie Reed	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.05	0.02	22	63%	0.17	4	-0.14	7	57%	-0.07
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	0.02	5	54%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Sindarius Thornwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	26.5	14.4	27.6	2.4	41.5	140.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -23.5%

MIN +24.2%

MIN +29.3%

MIN +7.9%

MIN +12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	11.9	14.7	123.5	113.5	107.5
season	15.3	14.2		111.8	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.6	14.7	16.8	16.5	16.1
LAC	13.4	11.0	12.2	11.2	11.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	79	82	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.29	12	-4	16	16.3	15.3	0.98	12.0	11.6	0.33
Jeff Teague	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-4	16	16.1	16.2	-0.20	11.9	12.0	-0.15
Andrew Wiggins	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-1	10	16.5	14.2	2.32	12.0	11.4	0.61
Nemanja Bjelica	75	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	2	4	15.7	17.1	-1.36	12.2	11.1	1.12
Karl-Anthony Towns	68	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	0	8	15.8	16.6	-0.81	12.7	10.3	2.38
Gorgui Dieng	34	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	8	-8	16.6	15.8	0.81	10.3	12.7	-2.38
Marcus Georges-Hunt	46	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	16.1	16.1	-0.08	11.3	12.5	-1.19
Aaron Brooks	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	6	-4	0.0	16.1	-16.11	7.0	11.9	-4.94
Tyus Jones	28	30	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.10	-1	9	-10	16.2	16.1	0.20	12.0	11.9	0.15
Shabazz Muhammad	21	20	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.01	-8	16	-24	15.1	16.4	-1.28	11.7	11.9	-0.18

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Dekker	25	25	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.05	6	-14	20	11.7	11.9	-0.23	15.5	16.3	-0.78
Willie Reed	33	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-6	4	14.3	10.8	3.53	15.5	16.4	-0.97
Sindarius Thornwell	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.22	4	-12	16	12.0	11.8	0.25	18.0	15.0	3.02
Tyrone Wallace	68	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-8	8	11.8	12.0	-0.16	16.7	15.0	1.76
Lou Williams	80	78	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-4	0	10.8	15.5	-4.63	15.8	17.0	-1.11
Milos Teodosic	60	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	5	-18	13.1	10.3	2.77	15.2	17.4	-2.27
Montrezl Harrell	69	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.43	-2	-6	4	11.0	13.7	-2.70	16.6	15.1	1.57
Wesley Johnson	66	65	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.16	-15	7	-22	11.8	12.0	-0.17	15.3	17.5	-2.16
Blake Griffin	79	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.21	-14	6	-20	11.9	11.7	0.23	16.3	15.5	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.05,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.54,0.22,0,0	91.7%
SAC 101, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.05,0	91.1%
PHX 103, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.15,0.09,0	90.9%