NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	8.4 [224]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +41.6%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	3.0 [563]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -35.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.13	-0.00	11	83%	0.32	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.02
Troy Daniels	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.13,0.03,0.09	0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	75%	0.15	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	4	82%	0.14	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
TJ Warren	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	20	56%	0.15	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Dragan Bender	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Tyler Ulis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.06	-0.01	-0.09	-0.04	8	39%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Devin Booker	-0.35	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.35	-0.16	-0.18	0.02	14	38%	-0.14	5	-0.21	9	100%	0.08

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.42	0.42	0.21	0.22	0.01	19	76%	0.49	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.41	0.41	0.18	0.23	-0.00	14	89%	0.57	5	-0.16	8	87%	0.08
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.08	-0.00	13	51%	0.16	4	-0.09	11	64%	-0.04
Marshall Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	67%	0.03	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.15	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	33.5	14.7	28.3	2.4	35.1	138.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +31.7%

MIL +12.1%

PHX -6.8%

MIL +8.4%

MIL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.8	14.7	107.1	112.4	107.5
season	14.2	14.3		102.6	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.3		108.9	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	14.8	14.6	13.6	14.7
MIL	15.5	14.6	14.8	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	33	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-8	12	15.1	14.5	0.60	16.0	14.3	1.77
Isaiah Canaan	58	57	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-9	14	14.1	15.6	-1.49	14.6	15.2	-0.56
Josh Jackson	19	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-4	4	16.5	14.3	2.21	14.9	14.8	0.07
Tyler Ulis	31	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	15.2	14.4	0.78	15.8	14.4	1.38
Alex Len	35	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-4	4	15.7	14.1	1.54	15.0	14.8	0.20
Troy Daniels	46	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-8	12	14.0	15.3	-1.31	15.5	14.3	1.25
Greg Monroe	63	62	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.32	-4	0	-4	14.1	15.7	-1.54	14.8	15.0	-0.20
Dragan Bender	57	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	6	-16	15.1	14.1	1.03	14.2	15.7	-1.50
Devin Booker	76	74	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	3	-10	14.9	14.0	0.95	14.2	16.8	-2.54
TJ Warren	72	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.36	-10	6	-16	14.2	16.1	-1.93	14.8	15.0	-0.26

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	72	73	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.42	16	-12	28	14.2	16.6	-2.31	14.8	14.4	0.45
Eric Bledsoe	68	68	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.48	14	-10	24	14.1	16.6	-2.48	14.7	14.6	0.18
Khris Middleton	78	79	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.43	9	-5	14	14.7	15.6	-0.98	14.8	14.3	0.53
John Henson	63	62	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.32	5	-1	6	14.4	15.6	-1.19	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Marshall Plumlee	17	18	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-6	16	13.9	15.0	-1.17	15.3	14.5	0.78
Matthew Dellavedova	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	7	-10	15.4	14.3	1.10	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Sterling Brown	56	55	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	11	-18	15.5	14.0	1.55	14.5	14.9	-0.34
Tony Snell	38	41	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	-0.17	-3	7	-10	15.1	14.7	0.43	15.0	14.5	0.53
Thon Maker	17	18	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	15	-26	17.4	14.3	3.04	14.7	14.7	0.03
Jason Terry	26	26	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.07	-10	14	-24	16.2	14.4	1.84	14.8	14.6	0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.69,0.6,0.6,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 81, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	91.1%
LAC 103, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.81,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	90.9%
CHA 95, DET 104	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.74,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.59,0.55,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1	90.9%