NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	81		Excitement	7.1 [227]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +15.9%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	3.8 [420]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -17.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Taylor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	16	50%	0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	23	52%	0.02	2	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Eric Washington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	7	58%	-0.03	2	-0.10	12	83%	0.01
Danny Fortson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	15	44%	0.00	5	-0.18	6	100%	0.04

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	8	106%	0.22	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	4	60%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	66%	0.13	3	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	15	39%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	10	37%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	6	21%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.06	-0.00	9	25%	-0.10	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.5	30.3	15.4	25.3	1.5	26.2	124.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +22.5%

DEN -2.3%

IND +31.4%

DEN -3.0%

IND +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	IND	NBA	DEN	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	16.5	15.8	91.0	97.8	99.6
season	15.5	16.4		100.7	105.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		101.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.1	14.4	17.2	16.1	15.6
IND	15.5	15.6	16.3	19.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	41	43	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-15	23	13.9	17.1	-3.22	18.0	15.2	2.81
Johnny Taylor	3	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-6	5	22.0	15.4	6.58	16.7	16.5	0.14
Loren Meyer	10	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	16.5	15.5	0.97	13.7	16.9	-3.19
Eric Williams	53	53	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.25	7	-14	21	15.4	16.0	-0.65	17.4	15.3	2.14
Cory Alexander	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-5	3	15.6	16.0	-0.40	16.1	20.6	-4.49
Danny Fortson	59	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.17	-8	1	-9	16.5	14.0	2.42	15.8	17.9	-2.12
Nick Van Exel	88	89	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	1	-9	15.7	6.0	9.75	16.5	22.0	-5.53
Eric Washington	42	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.06	-17	10	-27	15.4	15.9	-0.54	16.3	16.7	-0.40
Antonio McDyess	68	70	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	6	-19	15.9	15.0	0.90	16.7	16.0	0.62

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rik Smits	56	56	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.31	24	-17	41	16.2	17.1	-0.89	16.9	13.6	3.28
Reggie Miller	65	65	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.31	23	-16	39	16.2	17.5	-1.37	16.7	12.7	4.07
Mark Jackson	69	67	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.25	13	-6	19	16.3	17.4	-1.17	16.2	13.9	2.36
Sam Perkins	40	39	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	1	5	17.7	15.6	2.10	14.8	16.3	-1.41
Austin Croshere	36	34	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	4	-1	18.5	15.2	3.28	14.1	16.6	-2.51
Dale Davis	49	48	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	1	5	15.4	17.9	-2.43	16.5	14.6	1.91
Chris Mullin	49	50	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.07	5	2	3	15.6	17.7	-2.16	16.8	14.1	2.69
Travis Best	21	22	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	13	-19	17.4	16.3	1.17	13.9	16.2	-2.36
Jalen Rose	30	29	-0.49	0.99	-1.49	0.00	-17	24	-41	16.6	16.5	0.10	13.0	16.9	-3.97
Antonio Davis	35	35	-0.67	1.17	-1.83	-0.02	-22	29	-51	17.3	16.1	1.23	13.4	17.1	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 94, NJN 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.85,1,1	92.9%
POR 94, SAC 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.84,0.66,0.63,0.56,0.5,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.64,0.76,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	92.1%
LAC 95, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.96,1	92.0%