NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	116		Excitement	12.0 [16]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): +56.4%
Boston Celtics	113		Comeback	15.0 [68]		LVP	E'Twaun Moore (NOP): -29.4%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.56	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.43,0.56	0.09	0.47	-0.00	16	64%	0.64	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Anthony Davis	0.52	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52	0.13	0.39	0.00	34	54%	0.54	1	-0.02	15	87%	0.05
Ian Clark	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	10	75%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	58%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.26	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.12,-0.19,-0.3,-0.23,-0.26	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	20	41%	0.06	7	-0.31	6	67%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.09	-0.21	-0.00	9	22%	-0.12	1	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.01	9	78%	0.23	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	3	87%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	14	52%	0.13	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	14	55%	0.24	3	-0.20	1	0%	-0.02
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	13	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	11	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.12,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22	-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-0.01	24	49%	-0.03	6	-0.19	7	86%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.5	2.4	26.5	15.3	23.9	2.5	34.5	2.4	14.1	149.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +27.9%

NOP +31.1%

NOP +17.9%

BOS -3.6%

BOS -23.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	BOS	NBA	NOP	BOS	NBA
this game	13.7	14.3	14.7	103.6	98.3	107.5
season	13.6	15.1		108.0	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.6		103.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOP	11.4	13.8	14.4	14.9	15.8	13.7
BOS	13.9	13.3	15.0	14.5	15.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
E'Twaun Moore	80	83	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.59	10	-7	17	13.4	14.6	-1.21	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Anthony Davis	96	98	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-8	19	13.3	16.2	-2.86	14.3	14.3	-0.02
Ian Clark	66	67	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.40	5	-2	7	13.8	13.6	0.17	14.6	13.9	0.66
DeMarcus Cousins	90	94	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.51	-6	9	-15	13.9	13.0	0.97	13.9	16.0	-2.05
Jrue Holiday	86	89	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.41	-3	6	-9	13.7	13.8	-0.10	14.7	12.9	1.80
Darius Miller	37	36	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	-3	9	14.5	13.3	1.17	15.2	13.8	1.41
Dante Cunningham	39	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.16	-1	4	-5	14.2	13.5	0.77	15.1	13.9	1.17
Rajon Rondo	66	69	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.16	-7	10	-17	13.7	13.8	-0.05	13.3	15.8	-2.54

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Rozier	51	52	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.21	5	-8	13	15.3	13.5	1.86	14.5	13.0	1.51
Daniel Theis	41	42	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.12	0	-3	3	14.6	14.1	0.55	14.5	13.3	1.23
Shane Larkin	10	9	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-8	13	15.9	14.1	1.78	16.6	13.5	3.07
Aron Baynes	47	42	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	13.0	15.1	-2.09	13.0	14.2	-1.21
Semi Ojeleye	8	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	0	-3	11.1	14.5	-3.39	9.6	14.0	-4.42
Jaylen Brown	71	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-10	17	13.6	15.4	-1.87	14.0	13.3	0.77
Marcus Morris	51	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-3	3	14.3	14.2	0.10	14.2	13.3	0.97
Jayson Tatum	62	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-1	-1	13.6	15.1	-1.48	13.5	14.0	-0.47
Al Horford	80	77	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.53	-2	-1	-1	14.8	13.1	1.67	13.6	13.9	-0.26
Kyrie Irving	90	85	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.38	-8	5	-13	14.5	13.4	1.12	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Marcus Smart	64	64	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.27	-19	16	-35	14.7	13.7	0.96	13.2	14.5	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.66,0.69,0.84,0.94,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.43,0.77,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 129, SAC 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.47,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.09,0	86.4%
CLE 101, NJN 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.85,0.42,1	86.3%
UTA 112, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.77,0.28,0	86.2%