NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	129		Excitement	11.9 [16]		MVP	Steve Nash (DAL): +79.9%
Sacramento Kings	123		Comeback	39.2 [22]		LVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): -40.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.80	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.69,0.8	0.12	0.71	0.02	17	73%	0.89	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.11	-0.02	-0.03	23	63%	0.21	2	-0.10	8	100%	0.08
Adrian Griffin	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Eduardo Najera	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.08
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	10	48%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	16	51%	-0.06	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	-0.41	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.26,-0.32,-0.32,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.16	-0.25	-0.00	18	40%	-0.28	4	-0.13	7	71%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.16	0.14	0.00	17	75%	0.44	2	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,0.14,0.27,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	-0.09	0.21	-0.00	13	44%	0.29	4	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	4	82%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	71%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	6	62%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	5	30%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	16	39%	-0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Chris Webber	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.3,-0.41,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	26	42%	-0.15	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	29.1	17.4	29.0	2.7	33.2	1.6	14.3	151.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +20.6%

DAL +14.6%

SAC -3.0%

DAL +18.6%

SAC -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAC	NBA	DAL	SAC	NBA
this game	13.8	14.4	15.5	114.2	109.8	101.6
season	15.1	14.0		108.6	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.3		98.6	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	13.3	12.0	16.1	15.8	11.5	13.8
SAC	13.3	13.8	16.6	15.5	12.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	91	93	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.36	13	-7	20	14.3	11.8	2.55	14.6	13.7	0.92
Nick Van Exel	76	74	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.55	3	3	0	14.0	13.4	0.62	14.2	14.8	-0.60
Dirk Nowitzki	107	105	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	13.8	14.5	-0.71	14.5	13.0	1.54
Eduardo Najera	45	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-2	10	13.9	13.8	0.07	14.5	14.4	0.01
Steve Nash	85	83	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	3	0	13.5	14.7	-1.14	14.7	13.7	1.02
Walt Williams	19	21	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.36	-4	10	-14	13.2	13.9	-0.74	13.8	14.6	-0.84
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	12	11	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	6	-6	9.8	14.3	-4.46	13.5	14.6	-1.10
Raef LaFrentz	53	53	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.23	2	4	-2	13.6	14.0	-0.34	14.8	14.2	0.62
Adrian Griffin	61	60	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.24	2	4	-2	14.4	13.2	1.17	14.0	14.9	-0.89
Shawn Bradley	16	16	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.00	-8	14	-22	13.9	13.8	0.13	14.5	14.4	0.06

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-6	6	14.6	14.4	0.16	13.9	13.8	0.10
Mike Bibby	81	83	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-3	0	14.6	14.2	0.39	13.8	13.9	-0.10
Chris Webber	99	100	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-1	-4	14.4	14.6	-0.19	14.1	11.9	2.15
Hedo Turkoglu	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-10	14	13.6	15.2	-1.62	12.8	14.7	-1.91
Vlade Divac	50	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-1	-4	15.5	13.6	1.94	14.0	13.6	0.39
Bobby Jackson	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-8	10	14.1	15.0	-0.90	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Jim Jackson	27	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.39	1	-7	8	15.4	14.2	1.22	13.5	13.9	-0.42
Peja Stojakovic	87	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	4	-14	14.0	15.9	-1.85	14.0	13.4	0.59
Doug Christie	65	64	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.31	-14	8	-22	14.7	14.1	0.59	14.1	13.5	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.22,0.3,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.47,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 112, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.52,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.77,0.28,0	89.2%
MIA 101, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.47,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.27,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.22,0.15,0	88.4%
DET 102, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.33,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.28,0.15,0.17,0	88.2%