NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	102		Excitement	6.0 [652]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +28.3%
LA Clippers	113		Comeback	2.7 [276]		LVP	Jawun Evans (LAC): -12.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	11	68%	0.14	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.02	10	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.03	0.03	17	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
RJ Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	14	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	21	43%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.21	0.09	0.02	19	74%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	75%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Milos Teodosic	0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	7	86%	0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sindarius Thornwell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	59%	0.06	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.03	22	56%	0.11	5	-0.12	8	87%	-0.00
Willie Reed	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.7	29.6	14.8	28.9	2.8	33.2	139.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +61.7%

HOU -1.6%

HOU -7.2%

HOU -8.8%

LAC +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAC	NBA	HOU	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	13.4	14.7	101.0	114.1	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		112.8	109.2
opponent	14.6	14.8		109.0	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.1	14.5	15.8	15.0	15.3
LAC	11.0	12.2	13.7	17.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	24	24	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.15	6	-17	23	13.7	15.9	-2.19	12.9	13.6	-0.70
RJ Hunter	2	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	8.0	15.5	-7.48	24.0	13.3	10.66
Gerald Green	53	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.18	5	-16	21	15.2	15.5	-0.35	12.6	14.3	-1.71
PJ Tucker	44	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	16.2	14.7	1.46	13.7	13.3	0.43
Ryan Anderson	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	14.5	16.4	-1.88	13.0	14.0	-1.06
Luc Mbah a Moute	58	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	15.3	15.3	0.02	12.4	14.7	-2.31
Clint Capela	57	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	16.0	14.4	1.60	13.8	12.9	0.91
Eric Gordon	72	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.01	-15	4	-19	15.3	15.4	-0.11	14.2	11.7	2.57
Chris Paul	68	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-1	-9	16.1	13.7	2.44	13.6	13.1	0.45
Trevor Ariza	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.13	-13	2	-15	15.1	15.9	-0.85	13.9	12.3	1.53

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milos Teodosic	61	63	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-4	19	13.3	13.7	-0.39	15.6	14.8	0.79
Lou Williams	82	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-5	21	13.7	12.1	1.67	15.1	16.7	-1.61
Tyrone Wallace	68	69	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.01	16	-5	21	13.2	13.9	-0.67	15.6	14.8	0.72
Blake Griffin	72	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	0	11	13.8	12.4	1.38	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Montrezl Harrell	64	66	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	3	5	13.8	12.8	1.00	15.6	14.8	0.86
Wesley Johnson	62	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	6	-1	13.9	12.7	1.18	15.0	15.8	-0.77
Willie Reed	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	14	-17	13.1	13.5	-0.38	15.7	15.2	0.42
Sam Dekker	22	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	16	-21	12.9	13.6	-0.75	15.3	15.3	-0.05
Jawun Evans	43	44	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	19	-27	12.1	14.5	-2.39	15.2	15.5	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 92, NYK 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
NYK 85, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.4%
DAL 100, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.76,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%