NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	128		Excitement	4.2 [1005]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +41.7%
Golden State Warriors	141		Comeback	1.3 [1255]		LVP	Jarell Martin (MEM): -1.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.23	-0.00	0.03	13	93%	0.25	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Kobi Simmons	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	-0.00	0.01	10	85%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	8	69%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	4	71%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.11	0.00	0.09	16	63%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.00
Ivan Rabb	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.00	-0.06	16	37%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Harrison	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dillon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	6	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jarell Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.42	0.05	0.05	17	106%	0.42	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	6	100%	0.14	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jordan Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	4	92%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	12	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	-0.00	7	53%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	-0.00	-0.05	19	55%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	0	100%	0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	64%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	32.2	4.0	26.4	1.6	25.8	115.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +41.4%

GSW +12.6%

GSW +0.5%

MEM -3.1%

MEM -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	GSW	NBA	MEM	GSW	NBA
this game	16.3	12.8	14.7	128.0	143.9	107.5
season	15.4	13.7		103.4	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.6		105.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	19.0	16.2	14.7	16.3
GSW	11.8	10.2	13.1	15.9	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deyonta Davis	35	34	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.17	8	-21	29	16.4	16.2	0.15	13.2	12.5	0.69
Ivan Rabb	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-18	23	9.7	16.8	-7.08	9.3	13.0	-3.74
Jarell Martin	49	49	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-17	21	16.7	16.0	0.69	12.7	12.8	-0.08
Kobi Simmons	62	59	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-16	19	16.4	16.2	0.14	13.7	11.3	2.49
Mario Chalmers	29	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-8	3	17.9	15.6	2.30	13.7	12.3	1.38
Brandan Wright	17	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	-8	3	14.4	16.7	-2.27	12.8	12.7	0.07
James Ennis III	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.20	2	-15	17	16.2	16.4	-0.20	12.1	13.6	-1.52
Andrew Harrison	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	2	-17	16.1	16.4	-0.32	11.3	13.5	-2.28
JaMychal Green	41	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	1	-15	16.5	16.2	0.32	12.4	13.0	-0.62
Tyreke Evans	64	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	0	-13	16.3	16.3	-0.05	12.7	12.9	-0.17
Dillon Brooks	51	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	3	-19	16.5	16.1	0.35	13.3	12.1	1.19
Marc Gasol	58	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.02	-19	6	-25	16.4	16.2	0.15	12.8	12.7	0.01

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	55	54	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.17	24	-11	35	12.2	13.5	-1.27	16.8	15.8	1.00
Kevin Durant	72	74	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.04	18	-5	23	12.5	13.4	-0.91	16.1	16.8	-0.69
Zaza Pachulia	51	50	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-5	23	12.7	12.8	-0.10	16.2	16.4	-0.12
Klay Thompson	69	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	1	11	13.3	11.5	1.76	16.5	15.9	0.52
Shaun Livingston	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	10	-7	14.2	12.2	2.09	18.2	15.5	2.71
Jordan Bell	37	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	14	-15	13.5	12.3	1.13	15.4	16.9	-1.50
Omri Casspi	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	11	-9	12.9	12.6	0.33	15.7	16.7	-0.96
David West	24	25	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.06	1	12	-11	14.6	12.1	2.48	19.1	15.4	3.76
Andre Iguodala	37	38	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	11	-9	13.5	12.3	1.13	17.3	15.7	1.60
Nick Young	25	27	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	16	-19	11.2	13.3	-2.03	16.1	16.4	-0.31
Draymond Green	22	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	13	-13	11.5	13.1	-1.62	16.1	16.4	-0.22
Patrick McCaw	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	18	-23	9.3	13.0	-3.74	9.7	16.8	-7.08
JaVale McGee	23	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.13	-6	19	-25	10.9	13.3	-2.41	13.6	17.2	-3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 76, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DAL 98, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.5%
PHI 95, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.72,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	95.4%