NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	98		Excitement	4.7 [866]		MVP	Al Harrington (IND): +13.0%
Indiana Pacers	110		Comeback	1.2 [546]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -18.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Harrington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.04	0.05	23	57%	0.02	4	-0.10	5	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	20	40%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.23	-0.01	-0.06	20	32%	-0.13	2	-0.05	13	69%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	12	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	8	84%	0.11	3	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	22	54%	0.05	3	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	54%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	14	61%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +49.3%

DAL -1.8%

IND +9.6%

DAL -6.7%

DAL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	IND	NBA	DAL	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	14.3	15.5	97.0	107.8	101.6
season	15.1	15.4		108.6	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.3		99.2	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.9	15.1	14.4	12.0	14.1
IND	12.3	13.7	15.0	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Strickland	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	12.5	14.1	-1.63	14.0	14.3	-0.28
Adam Harrington	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-16	20	12.5	14.1	-1.63	14.0	14.3	-0.28
Avery Johnson	15	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.04	-5	-7	2	13.5	14.2	-0.66	13.2	14.4	-1.23
Raja Bell	49	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-15	18	14.1	14.1	0.05	13.6	14.9	-1.32
Adrian Griffin	15	15	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.1	13.9	1.21	14.2	14.3	-0.09
Eduardo Najera	58	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-4	-4	14.5	13.6	0.90	14.5	14.0	0.44
Walt Williams	53	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-8	4	14.2	14.0	0.15	14.1	14.4	-0.29
Michael Finley	81	83	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	13.9	15.1	-1.25	14.2	14.7	-0.57
Shawn Bradley	56	54	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	14.0	14.2	-0.18	14.7	13.8	0.83
Steve Nash	84	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	14.2	13.4	0.83	14.5	13.3	1.14
Dirk Nowitzki	90	90	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	4	-20	13.9	15.5	-1.52	14.5	12.7	1.82

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	86	86	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.00	22	-10	32	13.8	16.6	-2.79	14.0	14.7	-0.74
Jermaine O'Neal	85	85	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-4	20	14.4	13.5	0.96	14.0	14.7	-0.70
Jamaal Tinsley	91	89	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-1	14	14.3	13.8	0.51	14.1	14.3	-0.27
Reggie Miller	75	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-1	14	14.1	14.7	-0.53	14.3	13.6	0.68
Brad Miller	57	57	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.07	6	6	0	13.7	15.0	-1.26	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Al Harrington	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	7	-2	15.6	13.2	2.39	14.5	13.7	0.82
Jeff Foster	13	12	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	9	-6	11.7	14.7	-2.96	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Jonathan Bender	25	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	20	-28	15.0	14.0	0.96	14.9	13.8	1.04
Ron Mercer	32	32	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	22	-32	14.8	14.0	0.74	14.1	14.1	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 75, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MEM 128, GSW 141	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.8,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 88, CHA 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.8,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%