NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	7.4 [390]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +23.8%
Utah Jazz	104		Comeback	3.3 [264]		LVP	Kyle Korver (CLE): -10.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.15	0.07	0.01	12	73%	0.23	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Tristan Thompson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.03	0.01	4	85%	0.13	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.09	0.04	16	53%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
LeBron James	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	22	59%	0.24	6	-0.22	5	80%	0.03
JR Smith	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dwyane Wade	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.07	-0.02	9	45%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.24	0.24	0.11	0.16	0.02	17	69%	0.37	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.04
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	-0.00	11	76%	0.28	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	13	46%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	12	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	11	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	26.4	15.4	27.5	2.4	37.5	135.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +33.9%

UTA +5.3%

CLE -3.0%

UTA +13.2%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	14.1	14.7	103.1	104.0	107.5
season	14.8	15.1		111.2	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.7		103.3	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.0	15.8	16.6	14.7	15.0
UTA	16.4	13.0	13.4	13.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	39	42	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-8	13	14.6	15.3	-0.77	14.5	13.8	0.66
Kyle Korver	38	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.08	2	-5	7	14.8	15.1	-0.31	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Cedi Osman	20	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-5	7	13.3	15.5	-2.11	14.6	13.9	0.70
Jeff Green	54	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.31	7	-10	17	14.0	16.3	-2.25	14.3	13.8	0.49
Dwyane Wade	52	53	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-9	15	13.7	16.6	-2.89	14.4	13.7	0.65
Jose Calderon	37	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	3	-9	16.3	14.2	2.08	14.3	14.0	0.31
Jae Crowder	43	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	7	-17	15.9	14.3	1.60	14.4	13.9	0.50
LeBron James	78	79	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.33	-5	2	-7	15.6	12.8	2.74	13.6	15.8	-2.14
JR Smith	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.34	-6	3	-9	15.5	13.9	1.60	13.9	14.4	-0.53
Kevin Love	62	61	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.29	-10	7	-17	15.4	14.5	0.88	13.7	14.6	-0.94

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	63	63	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.25	17	-14	31	13.4	15.3	-1.91	15.8	13.7	2.14
Donovan Mitchell	79	79	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-3	9	13.9	14.7	-0.82	15.1	14.7	0.43
Thabo Sefolosha	66	64	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.37	7	-4	11	13.4	15.4	-1.94	15.9	13.5	2.39
Joe Ingles	66	66	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.39	6	-3	9	13.7	14.8	-1.05	15.8	13.5	2.27
Ricky Rubio	64	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-10	23	14.5	13.4	1.06	15.5	14.1	1.41
Rodney Hood	59	54	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.39	-11	14	-25	14.0	14.2	-0.25	14.2	16.0	-1.76
Royce O'Neale	17	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	3	-3	15.2	13.8	1.40	14.6	15.1	-0.45
Jonas Jerebko	8	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	3	-3	13.0	14.2	-1.16	13.6	15.1	-1.57
Joe Johnson	34	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	7	-11	15.4	13.4	1.94	13.5	15.9	-2.39
Alec Burks	14	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.03	-5	8	-13	15.0	13.9	1.08	12.4	15.5	-3.12
Ekpe Udoh	30	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.17	-14	17	-31	15.4	13.5	1.85	13.7	15.6	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.85,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 97, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.89,0.84,0.96,0.73,1	91.7%
IND 82, ORL 84	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.74,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.76,0.71,0.91,0.73,1	91.5%
GSW 123, MIN 126	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.85,0.74,1	91.4%