NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	87		Excitement	9.0 [151]		MVP	Justin Holiday (CHI): +17.1%
Chicago Bulls	92		Comeback	5.6 [298]		LVP	Doug McDermott (NYK): -25.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.08	0.00	5	75%	0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.05	-0.03	6	57%	-0.02	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	61%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.15
Enes Kanter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09	-0.01	-0.10	-0.02	18	47%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.13	0.02	22	48%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Michael Beasley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	9	33%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24	-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	10	29%	-0.22	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25	-0.10	-0.15	-0.00	6	21%	-0.08	2	-0.17	2	50%	-0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.17	0.01	7	69%	0.27	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	133%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	7	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	0.01	6	75%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.01	15	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.2,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.11	-0.04	18	42%	-0.10	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.05
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.05	-0.10	0.01	12	41%	-0.09	2	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19	-0.19	-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	6	31%	-0.11	2	-0.08	4	25%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	24.8	14.7	24.5	2.3	34.5	125.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +57.2%

CHI +6.1%

NYK -12.1%

NYK -2.4%

CHI +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	15.5	12.9	14.7	86.1	90.2	107.5
season	14.9	14.2		105.9	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.5		110.2	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	15.0	14.7	17.9	15.5
CHI	12.6	12.7	13.5	12.9	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	35	36	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.10	9	-14	23	15.7	15.3	0.44	13.2	12.8	0.41
Enes Kanter	45	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.10	-5	0	-5	15.3	15.6	-0.26	13.2	12.7	0.56
Jarrett Jack	44	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-1	-3	14.5	16.2	-1.77	13.1	12.8	0.24
Michael Beasley	33	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	0	-5	15.1	15.6	-0.59	11.7	13.5	-1.81
Frank Ntilikina	55	57	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-6	7	16.7	14.0	2.75	13.0	12.8	0.24
Kristaps Porzingis	82	83	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.36	0	-5	5	15.1	17.1	-1.97	13.2	11.7	1.53
Doug McDermott	77	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	2	-9	15.8	14.2	1.64	13.2	12.2	1.04
Lance Thomas	60	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	15.4	15.6	-0.18	13.1	12.7	0.33
Courtney Lee	74	74	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.38	-10	5	-15	15.3	15.9	-0.54	12.3	14.6	-2.36

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	59	59	0.76	-0.26	1.03	0.32	15	-10	25	12.4	13.7	-1.32	15.5	15.4	0.05
Justin Holiday	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-1	7	12.4	14.7	-2.22	15.2	16.4	-1.16
Nikola Mirotic	53	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.43	3	2	1	12.8	13.0	-0.17	15.6	15.3	0.22
Denzel Valentine	60	60	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-8	21	13.0	12.8	0.29	15.8	15.0	0.85
Kris Dunn	68	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	6	-7	13.4	12.1	1.31	15.3	15.7	-0.33
Jerian Grant	34	34	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	-1	7	12.1	13.4	-1.31	15.7	15.3	0.33
Bobby Portis	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	11.8	13.4	-1.60	15.8	15.3	0.43
David Nwaba	41	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.22	-10	15	-25	13.0	12.9	0.20	15.0	15.8	-0.85
Paul Zipser	23	22	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	6	-7	14.7	12.4	2.22	16.4	15.2	1.16
Robin Lopez	63	60	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.04	-7	12	-19	13.9	11.4	2.46	15.2	15.8	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.3,0.44,0.46,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.25,0.45,0.44,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 82, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.27,1	91.2%
ATL 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.43,0.58,1	91.1%
ATL 75, ORL 79	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.42,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.47,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.58,1	90.6%