NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	3.0 [1207]		MVP	Tobias Harris (DET): +28.8%
Detroit Pistons	107		Comeback	1.0 [889]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (IND): -6.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	54%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Darren Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Alex Poythress	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
TJ Leaf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	7	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Myles Turner	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	45%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	10	45%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	-0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.33	0.02	0.06	11	115%	0.30	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	13	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	13	70%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	10	40%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	8	30%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	27.8	13.7	26.6	2.5	27.3	124.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.5%

DET +3.9%

DET +9.6%

IND -2.0%

DET +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.7	16.4	14.7	95.4	123.0	107.5
season	14.8	14.9		108.3	106.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		106.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.6	14.4	15.8	20.7	16.7
DET	13.4	18.4	16.9	17.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Poythress	38	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.36	15	-39	54	16.8	16.7	0.10	16.9	15.9	0.96
Al Jefferson	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-24	24	18.6	16.5	2.11	14.2	16.7	-2.50
TJ Leaf	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-24	24	18.6	16.5	2.11	14.2	16.7	-2.50
Damien Wilkins	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	20.1	16.2	3.84	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Joe Young	11	12	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	20.1	16.2	3.84	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Domantas Sabonis	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.09	-6	-18	12	18.6	15.8	2.72	18.0	15.6	2.45
Cory Joseph	50	49	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-23	22	16.1	17.6	-1.45	18.1	14.1	3.97
Lance Stephenson	57	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-22	20	15.9	18.4	-2.49	18.5	12.5	6.08
Bojan Bogdanovic	46	47	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	-7	-10	16.1	17.4	-1.28	15.3	17.6	-2.33
Darren Collison	35	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.44	-29	5	-34	18.2	15.8	2.40	15.6	16.9	-1.33
Myles Turner	46	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	-5	-14	15.5	18.2	-2.71	16.0	16.8	-0.76
Victor Oladipo	49	49	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.20	-23	-1	-22	15.7	18.0	-2.29	15.6	17.3	-1.68
Thaddeus Young	43	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.47	-34	10	-44	16.7	16.7	-0.03	14.9	17.7	-2.82

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	56	57	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.25	29	-5	34	15.6	17.7	-2.13	15.5	19.1	-3.66
Tobias Harris	56	57	0.60	-0.10	0.71	-0.25	29	-5	34	15.6	17.7	-2.13	15.5	19.1	-3.66
Andre Drummond	61	62	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.46	35	-11	46	15.6	18.2	-2.66	16.4	17.6	-1.16
Reggie Jackson	42	42	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.20	23	1	22	15.6	17.1	-1.54	15.1	18.3	-3.17
Luke Kennard	24	24	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.29	22	2	20	11.7	18.2	-6.49	17.9	16.3	1.63
Stanley Johnson	63	63	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	22	-20	18.2	11.7	6.49	16.3	17.9	-1.63
Ish Smith	41	41	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	23	-22	17.6	15.3	2.26	18.5	15.2	3.27
Henry Ellenson	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	12.5	16.6	-4.05	16.2	16.8	-0.51
Boban Marjanovic	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	15.1	16.5	-1.33	17.2	16.7	0.46
Dwight Buycks	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	24	-24	12.5	16.6	-4.05	16.2	16.8	-0.51
Eric Moreland	19	19	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.26	-11	35	-46	19.4	15.5	3.84	17.7	16.5	1.21
Langston Galloway	31	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	29	-34	17.7	15.6	2.13	19.1	15.5	3.66
Anthony Tolliver	27	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	29	-34	18.5	15.4	3.12	19.6	15.5	4.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 82, PHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
POR 106, GSW 118	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
SEA 96, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%