NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	96		Excitement	3.6 [1107]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +23.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	119		Comeback	1.1 [1261]		LVP	Willie Cauley-Stein (SAC): -7.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	9	80%	0.14	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	45%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	62%	0.09	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kosta Koufos	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	0.00	0.06	8	65%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Richardson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Skal Labissiere	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.05	5	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Frank Mason	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	11	23%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	10	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.03	0.01	16	73%	0.24	0	0.00	9	67%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.02	0.07	10	78%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	17	63%	0.11	1	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	120%	0.08	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	3	83%	0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	125%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	9	56%	0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.6	28.6	14.0	28.8	1.7	24.3	123.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +30.4%

MIN +12.6%

SAC -2.7%

MIN +9.2%

MIN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	17.1	14.6	14.7	105.5	130.8	107.5
season	15.4	15.3		102.9	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.7		110.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	18.0	16.8	17.9	15.8	17.1
MIN	12.6	16.0	15.0	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	28	27	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.34	13	-36	49	14.9	18.0	-3.12	17.5	13.3	4.21
Malachi Richardson	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-19	15	16.7	17.2	-0.49	11.7	14.9	-3.22
Skal Labissiere	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.14	-6	-17	11	17.6	16.9	0.71	13.2	15.0	-1.78
De'Aaron Fox	15	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-19	15	18.4	16.8	1.57	13.7	14.7	-1.00
Buddy Hield	40	39	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-29	35	15.8	18.1	-2.34	16.6	13.0	3.64
Frank Mason	42	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-19	15	16.8	17.3	-0.52	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Bogdan Bogdanovic	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-15	7	16.3	18.8	-2.45	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Kosta Koufos	36	35	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.08	-10	-13	3	16.2	17.7	-1.43	15.5	14.0	1.46
Justin Jackson	24	25	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.22	-15	-8	-7	17.9	16.8	1.07	13.6	14.9	-1.32
Garrett Temple	33	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.33	-22	-1	-21	18.5	16.3	2.19	14.1	14.8	-0.71
George Hill	56	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.26	-22	-1	-21	17.6	16.3	1.26	14.2	15.2	-0.93
Zach Randolph	46	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.28	-23	0	-23	18.0	16.2	1.80	13.5	15.7	-2.16
Willie Cauley-Stein	35	37	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-7	-9	18.3	16.3	1.99	14.6	14.6	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	67	65	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.16	22	1	21	14.5	14.8	-0.37	17.2	16.9	0.23
Andrew Wiggins	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.16	19	4	15	14.3	15.1	-0.78	17.1	17.1	-0.04
Gorgui Dieng	46	48	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.30	22	1	21	13.6	15.5	-1.88	17.2	16.9	0.34
Jeff Teague	58	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	11	1	15.0	13.8	1.26	16.9	17.4	-0.54
Jimmy Butler	69	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	10	3	15.1	12.9	2.18	16.7	18.1	-1.35
Marcus Georges-Hunt	32	33	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	16	-9	15.2	14.2	0.97	16.3	17.5	-1.18
Jamal Crawford	30	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	22	-21	15.8	13.9	1.90	17.1	17.1	0.02
Tyus Jones	33	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.15	11	12	-1	13.8	15.0	-1.26	17.4	16.9	0.54
Taj Gibson	45	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	23	-23	14.9	14.2	0.74	18.1	16.1	1.94
Aaron Brooks	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	9.8	14.8	-5.04	16.5	17.1	-0.63
Cole Aldrich	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	19	-15	9.8	14.8	-5.04	16.5	17.1	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 105, POR 137	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.72,0.76,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.77,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.81,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
MIL 87, HOU 106	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
LAL 106, DAL 140	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%