NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	92		Excitement	8.0 [276]		MVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): +36.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	97		Comeback	1.9 [900]		LVP	Yogi Ferrell (DAL): -10.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.J. Barea	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.37	0.10	0.27	-0.00	9	70%	0.39	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.03
Maxi Kleber	0.23	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.10	0.00	9	80%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antonius Cleveland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.10	-0.00	15	61%	0.00	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Salah Mejri	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	17	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	4	56%	0.03	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	11	45%	-0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.09	0.27	-0.00	17	59%	0.39	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.21	-0.00	9	73%	0.33	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.07
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.03	15	78%	0.27	7	-0.24	6	100%	0.05
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.14	0.10	-0.01	12	31%	0.03	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.08
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	9	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	25.2	14.8	27.2	2.0	38.4	132.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.4%

MIN +17.9%

MIN +19.4%

DAL -19.4%

MIN +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	14.7	102.2	109.0	107.5
season	15.4	15.3		105.3	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.3	16.6	17.1	16.6	16.7
MIN	15.0	16.9	13.5	16.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	14	14	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.08	7	-12	19	16.5	16.7	-0.20	17.3	15.2	2.11
Dirk Nowitzki	52	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	16.4	17.0	-0.53	14.9	16.2	-1.35
Devin Harris	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	1	-7	16.0	17.1	-1.10	15.0	15.8	-0.74
Dwight Powell	28	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.05	-5	0	-5	15.5	17.2	-1.64	14.8	15.8	-1.04
Maxi Kleber	61	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-5	5	17.4	15.2	2.15	16.2	14.1	2.08
Harrison Barnes	58	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-5	5	16.9	16.3	0.60	15.4	15.7	-0.29
Wesley Matthews	70	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-6	7	16.6	16.8	-0.17	15.7	14.9	0.78
Yogi Ferrell	57	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-4	3	17.3	15.5	1.82	16.2	14.2	1.96
Antonius Cleveland	35	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.05	-11	6	-17	16.5	16.8	-0.34	13.6	16.8	-3.13
J.J. Barea	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.30	-8	3	-11	16.3	17.0	-0.63	15.8	15.2	0.60

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	70	71	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.48	9	-4	13	15.6	15.3	0.31	17.1	15.0	2.11
Jimmy Butler	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	15.7	14.5	1.22	16.9	15.1	1.80
Jamal Crawford	35	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-5	15	16.4	14.9	1.52	16.1	17.1	-1.06
Jeff Teague	66	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	5	-5	15.2	16.3	-1.02	17.0	15.8	1.19
Andrew Wiggins	67	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	8	-11	14.8	17.6	-2.77	16.6	17.0	-0.39
Taj Gibson	63	63	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	6	-7	14.8	17.2	-2.44	17.2	15.3	1.90
Tyus Jones	23	23	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	0	5	16.3	15.2	1.02	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Gorgui Dieng	45	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	5	-5	16.4	14.6	1.81	15.4	18.0	-2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.45,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.92,1	92.2%
CLE 69, TOR 75	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.57,0.91,1	92.2%
NJN 81, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.78,0.78,0.84,1	92.0%