NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	116		Excitement	6.4 [575]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +20.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	6.3 [412]		LVP	JaMychal Green (MEM): -19.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.04	0.15	-0.02	8	67%	0.25	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	0.14	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.01	12	75%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Norman Powell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	3	82%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.04
Jakob Poeltl	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	6	57%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	14	53%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Valanciunas	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.03	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
DeMar DeRozan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	15	59%	0.13	4	-0.09	14	100%	0.07
CJ Miles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.05	0.03	19	64%	0.24	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.01	5	75%	0.13	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.04
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	16	51%	0.07	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	70%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	6	59%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.04
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	9	22%	-0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.4	28.6	15.3	29.6	1.7	31.2	136.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +22.7%

TOR +15.1%

MEM -11.0%

TOR +19.4%

TOR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	MEM	NBA	TOR	MEM	NBA
this game	13.2	17.3	14.7	123.4	112.6	107.5
season	14.6	15.4		112.7	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.8		109.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.0	10.4	12.8	15.5	13.2
MEM	16.0	20.0	15.3	18.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	71	73	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.00	18	-9	27	12.8	14.2	-1.34	17.7	15.9	1.80
Jakob Poeltl	50	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	5	-1	12.8	13.5	-0.68	16.7	18.0	-1.28
Pascal Siakam	40	40	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	5	-1	12.5	13.6	-1.15	16.6	17.8	-1.20
Norman Powell	28	29	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	5	-1	11.7	13.8	-2.01	19.1	16.5	2.65
OG Anunoby	66	68	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.10	13	-4	17	13.1	13.3	-0.23	17.2	17.4	-0.21
Fred VanVleet	43	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.39	-6	15	-21	14.3	12.2	2.06	16.0	18.3	-2.28
DeMar DeRozan	73	73	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	4	1	13.5	12.1	1.31	16.3	20.6	-4.35
Jonas Valanciunas	34	35	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.16	8	1	7	13.0	13.2	-0.25	19.4	16.1	3.29
Serge Ibaka	49	51	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	5	-1	13.2	13.1	0.18	18.1	16.3	1.82
CJ Miles	16	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	18	-27	15.7	12.6	3.12	16.6	17.4	-0.83

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deyonta Davis	25	25	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.16	9	-18	27	17.1	17.4	-0.29	13.2	13.1	0.06
Ben McLemore	37	36	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-14	19	16.1	18.0	-1.90	12.3	13.7	-1.38
Tyreke Evans	53	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-13	17	16.2	18.7	-2.50	14.9	11.0	3.86
James Ennis III	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-4	-1	16.7	17.7	-1.01	11.3	14.3	-3.05
Andrew Harrison	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-6	3	18.8	15.2	3.63	13.0	13.3	-0.30
Dillon Brooks	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-3	-3	20.0	16.0	4.02	14.5	12.5	1.97
JaMychal Green	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-6	3	18.6	14.8	3.84	13.5	12.6	0.85
Chandler Parsons	51	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	1	-11	15.5	19.4	-3.85	12.9	13.5	-0.62
Marc Gasol	70	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.08	-18	9	-27	17.4	17.1	0.29	13.1	13.2	-0.06
Mario Chalmers	54	54	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.10	-18	9	-27	16.6	18.1	-1.50	12.6	13.9	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.68,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.43,0.57,0.43,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 110, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
CLE 108, BOS 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	92.6%
CLE 88, PHI 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.68,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.36,0.19,0.13,0.25,0.07,0.03,0,0	91.9%