NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	119		Excitement	11.0 [27]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): +38.2%
Charlotte Hornets	111		Comeback	2.1 [177]		LVP	Kris Dunn (CHI): -26.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.18,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.38,0.38	0.15	0.24	0.01	15	69%	0.41	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
David Nwaba	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.07	0.13	-0.00	7	69%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bobby Portis	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	4	112%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.05	0.01	7	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.18,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	15	59%	0.22	4	-0.24	2	50%	-0.01
Justin Holiday	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.09	0.03	15	50%	-0.00	1	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Denzel Valentine	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	7	44%	0.00	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Zipser	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.25,-0.26	-0.09	-0.17	0.00	24	37%	-0.16	1	-0.10	6	67%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.09,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.32	0.32	0.05	0.25	-0.01	16	51%	0.33	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.16
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	-0.00	7	75%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.07	0.01	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.12	-0.12	0.02	11	71%	0.09	1	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Johnny O'Bryant III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	-0.03	3	25%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.06
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	23	46%	-0.07	2	-0.04	8	37%	-0.15
Nicolas Batum	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	14	32%	-0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	29.4	14.7	24.3	6.5	29.2	2.4	17.6	149.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +89.6%

CHA -40.0%

CHI +28.6%

CHA -37.4%

CHI +9.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CHA	NBA	CHI	CHA	NBA
this game	14.2	14.5	14.7	108.2	99.1	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		103.2	108.7
opponent	14.5	15.0		108.5	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.3	16.3	13.3	13.4	13.2	14.2
CHA	14.5	13.7	14.4	16.8	11.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Nwaba	66	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.49	8	0	8	13.3	15.5	-2.23	14.9	13.7	1.18
Justin Holiday	83	84	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.24	9	-1	10	14.1	14.6	-0.50	14.0	15.8	-1.81
Lauri Markkanen	71	71	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	5	-2	14.9	12.9	2.03	13.4	16.3	-2.92
Nikola Mirotic	31	32	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.00	9	-1	10	12.8	14.7	-1.96	16.4	13.7	2.67
Jerian Grant	23	24	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	2	4	13.4	14.4	-1.00	17.3	13.7	3.60
Robin Lopez	88	89	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.28	-1	9	-10	14.6	12.5	2.10	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Kris Dunn	87	88	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.19	2	6	-4	14.4	13.4	1.00	13.7	17.3	-3.60
Paul Zipser	20	21	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	7	-6	14.7	14.1	0.63	16.0	14.1	1.89
Bobby Portis	31	32	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.07	6	2	4	12.4	14.9	-2.45	15.7	14.0	1.67
Denzel Valentine	50	51	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.29	-3	11	-14	15.6	13.0	2.53	14.0	14.9	-0.92

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	71	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-12	16	13.4	16.4	-3.00	14.7	13.2	1.48
Marvin Williams	85	85	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-10	12	13.5	17.5	-3.98	14.3	13.9	0.39
Jeremy Lamb	19	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-3	-2	14.6	14.4	0.14	13.6	14.3	-0.70
Kemba Walker	90	89	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-8	8	13.7	17.5	-3.72	14.3	13.6	0.75
Nicolas Batum	90	89	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-8	8	13.7	17.5	-3.72	14.3	13.6	0.75
Dwight Howard	92	92	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-7	6	13.8	17.5	-3.70	14.1	14.6	-0.45
Johnny O'Bryant III	20	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	-1	-6	17.5	13.8	3.70	14.6	14.1	0.45
Dwayne Bacon	9	8	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-1	-6	20.6	13.9	6.62	13.5	14.2	-0.74
Treveon Graham	37	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	0	-8	16.9	13.3	3.58	13.5	14.5	-1.06
Malik Monk	22	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	0	-8	17.5	13.7	3.72	13.6	14.3	-0.75
Michael Carter-Williams	25	24	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	2	-12	17.6	13.6	4.09	13.5	14.4	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.39,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.27,0.41,0.29,0.53,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.15,0.5,0.39,0.46,0.1,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 112, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.14,0.13,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.1,0.08,0	89.7%
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	89.3%
NJN 98, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.66,0.42,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.27,0	89.2%