NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	4.3 [985]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (TOR): +11.2%
Toronto Raptors	126		Comeback	1.1 [1301]		LVP	TJ Warren (PHX): -8.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	65%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Mike James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	1	125%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	9	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Greg Monroe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	4	79%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Josh Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	6	59%	0.03	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.00
Dragan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	0.01	15	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.03
Tyler Ulis	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.03	0.05	13	70%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	9	89%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	8	68%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	17	49%	0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	12	77%	0.12	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	54%	0.00	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.00	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	5	29%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.6	27.0	14.5	32.5	2.3	33.6	136.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.7%

PHX -2.7%

TOR +15.2%

TOR +1.4%

TOR +7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	TOR	NBA	PHX	TOR	NBA
this game	12.9	13.8	14.7	104.6	116.7	107.5
season	14.2	14.6		102.6	112.7
opponent	14.8	14.3		105.9	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.2	13.0	12.5	12.9	12.9
TOR	13.9	13.1	13.7	14.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	36	36	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.20	8	-21	29	12.0	13.4	-1.38	13.9	13.7	0.29
Jared Dudley	54	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-18	23	13.1	12.7	0.39	13.9	13.6	0.25
Troy Daniels	48	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.07	-2	-11	9	13.1	12.8	0.34	12.5	14.8	-2.33
Greg Monroe	57	57	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-14	15	12.6	13.2	-0.60	15.1	12.2	2.94
Dragan Bender	31	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-4	-5	12.8	13.0	-0.15	12.9	14.1	-1.12
Marquese Chriss	23	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.05	-9	-4	-5	12.6	13.0	-0.39	14.5	13.5	0.91
Devin Booker	86	87	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.31	2	-15	17	12.9	13.1	-0.28	14.1	12.3	1.76
Josh Jackson	63	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-7	1	12.8	13.1	-0.26	13.1	14.7	-1.65
Alex Len	41	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.11	-15	2	-17	14.1	12.2	1.86	12.3	14.6	-2.22
TJ Warren	51	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	4	-21	13.3	12.6	0.68	14.4	13.2	1.18
Tyler Ulis	50	50	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.20	-23	10	-33	12.6	13.2	-0.52	14.0	13.5	0.50

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	77	79	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.15	24	-11	35	14.2	12.7	1.41	12.8	13.2	-0.40
DeMar DeRozan	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-4	21	14.0	13.1	0.92	12.8	13.2	-0.43
OG Anunoby	54	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	0	13	14.6	12.9	1.72	12.8	13.0	-0.16
Serge Ibaka	71	73	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.02	10	3	7	14.6	12.2	2.37	12.5	13.7	-1.18
CJ Miles	43	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	8	-3	12.3	14.7	-2.44	13.4	12.6	0.84
Jakob Poeltl	50	51	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	10	-7	13.0	14.4	-1.43	14.1	11.8	2.31
Jonas Valanciunas	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	5	3	14.5	13.3	1.27	11.8	13.6	-1.77
Pascal Siakam	37	35	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.10	3	10	-7	12.2	14.6	-2.37	13.7	12.5	1.18
Fred VanVleet	50	49	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	13	-13	13.0	14.4	-1.32	12.6	13.2	-0.56
Alfonzo McKinnie	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	12.0	13.8	-1.78	5.0	13.0	-7.99
Lorenzo Brown	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	12.0	13.8	-1.78	5.0	13.0	-7.99
Norman Powell	35	35	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.28	-14	27	-41	14.1	13.6	0.58	13.3	12.7	0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.85,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 74, POR 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
POR 85, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%
MIN 94, POR 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%