NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	108		Excitement	7.9 [299]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +49.1%
Utah Jazz	114		Comeback	9.7 [99]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -20.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Miller	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33	0.15	0.17	-0.00	8	88%	0.33	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.12	0.01	0.03	11	82%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.08	0.01	21	48%	0.14	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	9	72%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	14	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.02
Tony Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Ian Clark	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.21	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	15	34%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.28,0.28,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.21	0.30	0.03	25	67%	0.56	3	-0.07	11	82%	-0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.11	-0.00	9	72%	0.24	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.01
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.14	0.01	8	72%	0.24	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.03	0.02	17	65%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	5	80%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	7	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.3	27.4	14.7	25.2	2.3	33.7	129.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +33.1%

UTA +11.6%

UTA +2.7%

UTA +3.6%

NOP -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	UTA	NBA	NOP	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	14.9	14.7	111.3	118.8	107.5
season	13.6	15.1		108.0	106.6
opponent	14.6	14.6		103.3	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.9	13.2	15.6	17.2	15.0
UTA	15.5	17.4	12.6	14.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	67	66	0.17	-0.67	0.84	0.02	5	-11	16	14.1	16.9	-2.81	15.0	14.6	0.37
Dante Cunningham	8	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-7	8	14.9	15.0	-0.09	18.3	14.6	3.67
Rajon Rondo	57	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.19	1	-7	8	15.2	14.7	0.48	15.2	14.5	0.68
Jrue Holiday	81	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-8	10	14.6	16.9	-2.29	14.9	14.7	0.16
E'Twaun Moore	73	72	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-5	4	15.0	14.7	0.33	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Ian Clark	18	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	1	-8	16.2	14.7	1.55	13.1	15.3	-2.22
Jameer Nelson	38	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	2	-10	14.9	15.0	-0.15	15.3	14.6	0.72
Tony Allen	12	12	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	4	-14	15.5	14.9	0.62	14.2	15.0	-0.82
DeMarcus Cousins	76	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	15.5	13.0	2.56	14.8	15.1	-0.28
Darius Miller	55	53	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.36	-9	3	-12	15.0	14.9	0.18	14.9	14.9	0.05

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	43	43	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.32	20	-14	34	13.9	15.7	-1.77	16.3	13.9	2.37
Donovan Mitchell	72	75	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.44	11	-5	16	14.5	16.0	-1.49	15.1	14.6	0.48
Derrick Favors	69	68	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.47	7	-1	8	14.4	16.2	-1.86	15.6	13.5	2.06
Alec Burks	63	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	14.6	15.4	-0.77	14.8	15.2	-0.38
Joe Ingles	78	78	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	5	-4	14.9	14.9	-0.07	15.2	13.9	1.32
Royce O'Neale	25	26	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	1	4	14.3	15.1	-0.76	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Ekpe Udoh	27	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.14	-1	7	-8	16.2	14.4	1.86	13.5	15.6	-2.06
Ricky Rubio	50	49	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	11	-16	16.1	13.6	2.45	14.8	15.1	-0.37
Thabo Sefolosha	53	54	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	0.00	-14	20	-34	15.7	13.9	1.77	13.9	16.3	-2.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.17,0.16,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.46,0.52,0.76,0.63,0.64,0.47,0.18,0.19,0.36,0.57,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, LAC 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.23,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.57,0.74,1	89.4%
DET 88, GSW 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.34,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.22,0.24,0.36,0.45,0.72,1	89.2%
POR 96, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.2,0.19,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.38,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.92,1	88.5%