NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Excitement	7.5 [365]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (ATL): +32.2%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	3.1 [739]		LVP	Isaiah Taylor (ATL): -12.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.11	0.00	11	83%	0.35	3	-0.09	7	71%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	68%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.05	0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.16	5	-0.10	8	87%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Dwyane Wade	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.04	-0.00	11	68%	0.18	2	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
JR Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.13	-0.00	11	92%	0.35	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.02	0.02	7	87%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.19	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.03
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.11	-0.08	0.02	19	64%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Miles Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	4	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	8	44%	0.02	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	27.1	14.7	26.3	2.6	37.3	137.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +37.0%

ATL -9.2%

CLE +19.5%

ATL -2.9%

CLE +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	13.6	14.7	121.0	114.0	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		111.2	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.8	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.8	17.1	14.2	15.8	15.2
ATL	14.5	14.2	14.6	11.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	67	67	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-5	17	15.5	14.5	1.08	14.5	11.8	2.64
LeBron James	78	77	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	14.8	16.5	-1.69	14.1	11.9	2.27
JR Smith	73	71	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-3	13	15.0	15.6	-0.62	14.2	12.2	2.04
Dwyane Wade	50	50	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	7	-7	15.0	15.3	-0.28	12.3	15.0	-2.72
Jeff Green	42	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	-2	11	14.3	15.8	-1.58	13.8	13.5	0.38
Jae Crowder	56	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	0	7	15.6	14.7	0.89	14.9	12.0	2.93
Kyle Korver	48	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	9	-11	14.7	15.6	-0.87	12.1	15.1	-3.02
Channing Frye	26	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	10	-13	15.6	15.0	0.59	11.9	14.3	-2.40
Jose Calderon	36	37	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.07	-3	10	-13	15.9	14.8	1.06	13.9	13.5	0.43
Cedi Osman	24	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	12	-17	16.3	14.8	1.46	12.0	14.2	-2.16

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	7	8	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.04	7	-14	21	12.1	13.7	-1.59	16.9	15.0	1.84
Isaiah Taylor	33	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-10	13	12.1	14.4	-2.24	15.3	15.1	0.24
Ersan Ilyasova	63	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.26	7	-14	21	12.4	15.7	-3.26	15.6	14.3	1.34
Tyler Cavanaugh	13	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	3	-13	13.5	13.6	-0.09	10.0	15.9	-5.89
Marco Belinelli	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.34	3	-10	13	12.9	14.5	-1.60	16.1	13.9	2.17
John Collins	54	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	0	-7	14.5	12.6	1.91	14.4	16.1	-1.67
DeAndre' Bembry	45	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-4	1	11.6	15.2	-3.59	15.6	14.9	0.71
Taurean Prince	57	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	1	-9	14.9	11.9	3.01	15.1	15.3	-0.26
Luke Babbitt	38	35	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	4	-15	15.6	12.4	3.20	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Kent Bazemore	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	13.9	13.1	0.82	15.5	14.7	0.80
Dennis Schroder	67	68	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.19	-10	3	-13	14.4	12.1	2.24	15.1	15.3	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.29,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.1,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.32,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 132, PHX 130	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.15,0.23,0.28,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.16,0.28,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.06,0.01,0	92.6%
MIA 94, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.13,0.27,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.03,0.03,0,0	91.7%
CHI 96, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0	91.6%