NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	127		Excitement	11.4 [21]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (LAL): +34.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	123		Comeback	5.9 [418]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): -24.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.18	0.02	12	71%	0.31	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Stephen Curry	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15	0.01	0.12	-0.02	20	58%	0.30	5	-0.14	8	87%	0.03
Zaza Pachulia	0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	5	100%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	5	69%	0.13	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jordan Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	10	58%	0.11	4	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Patrick McCaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	2	83%	0.04	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.23,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	25	54%	0.15	6	-0.22	4	50%	-0.02
Kevon Looney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.03	0.30	-0.02	18	50%	0.40	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.09	0.11	0.00	13	67%	0.25	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.06
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	19	54%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	12	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	46%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.33,-0.25	-0.25	0.05	-0.27	0.02	21	65%	0.16	7	-0.41	7	86%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	29.5	15.4	27.5	2.4	33.0	1.7	16.2	151.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +23.5%

LAL -9.4%

GSW +44.9%

LAL -6.6%

LAL -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAL	NBA	GSW	LAL	NBA
this game	14.4	13.2	14.7	109.5	107.0	107.5
season	13.7	13.7		112.6	105.7
opponent	14.8	15.1		107.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	13.6	17.6	13.2	13.6	13.7	14.4
LAL	12.1	12.4	13.5	14.6	13.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	93	92	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.36	8	-4	12	14.1	15.6	-1.50	13.4	12.2	1.24
Klay Thompson	84	83	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	0	4	14.4	14.3	0.07	13.6	12.0	1.61
Stephen Curry	87	87	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	0	4	13.7	16.3	-2.64	13.4	12.3	1.16
Andre Iguodala	73	75	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.44	-5	9	-14	14.5	14.2	0.28	13.6	12.3	1.33
Jordan Bell	27	27	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.09	5	-1	6	13.6	14.6	-1.05	14.3	12.8	1.48
Draymond Green	84	83	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	6	-8	14.2	14.8	-0.62	12.9	13.9	-1.07
Zaza Pachulia	34	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.12	11	-7	18	12.9	15.0	-2.09	12.9	13.3	-0.36
Nick Young	29	30	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	0	4	15.0	14.2	0.80	12.5	13.4	-0.95
Patrick McCaw	19	17	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	6	-8	16.5	13.9	2.53	11.2	13.5	-2.26
Kevon Looney	28	28	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.05	-3	7	-10	16.6	13.6	3.01	12.1	13.5	-1.35
Shaun Livingston	22	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	8	-12	16.2	13.9	2.30	11.5	13.5	-2.01

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	24	26	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-8	12	11.8	13.5	-1.74	17.1	13.6	3.50
Andrew Bogut	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-6	8	11.4	13.4	-1.99	19.2	13.9	5.32
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	93	94	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.15	1	-5	6	12.8	14.7	-1.88	13.9	16.5	-2.58
Julius Randle	66	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.50	11	-15	26	13.5	12.7	0.86	14.8	13.8	0.94
Larry Nance Jr.	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	7	-18	12.6	13.7	-1.07	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Josh Hart	28	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	0	-4	13.8	13.0	0.82	14.3	14.4	-0.11
Brook Lopez	38	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.16	-15	11	-26	13.3	13.1	0.15	12.6	15.3	-2.75
Jordan Clarkson	74	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.53	8	-12	20	13.2	13.1	0.11	15.5	12.5	2.93
Lonzo Ball	94	94	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.34	-8	4	-12	13.5	11.5	2.01	13.9	16.2	-2.30
Brandon Ingram	95	95	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	4	-12	13.5	11.4	2.08	13.9	16.2	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.38,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.34,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.54,0.18,0.39,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 117, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.66,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.41,0.28,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.45,0.21,0.33,0.15,0	88.4%
BOS 122, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.72,0.57,0.41,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.16,0	88.2%
CHA 106, LAL 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.45,0.26,0.54,0.39,0.28,0.16,0.01,0	88.2%