inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 97 Excitement2.3 [1260] MVPKevin Love (CLE): +19.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 108 Comeback1.0 [1017] LVPTyler Johnson (MIA): -6.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bam Adebayo0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.200.000.147100%0.0600.005100%0.01
James Johnson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.021161%0.073-0.0210%-0.01
Dion Waiters0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.030.00-0.061951%0.084-0.05367%0.01
Kelly Olynyk0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02383%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Derrick Walton Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Hassan Whiteside-0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.011048%-0.001-0.00333%-0.01
Wayne Ellington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.060.00-0.0440%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Josh Richardson-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.090.000.12983%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.061025%-0.052-0.0000%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.000.03539%-0.0600.00862%-0.03
Tyler Johnson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.120.00-0.0650%-0.032-0.0300%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Love0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.230.000.031678%0.213-0.011782%0.01
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.00869%0.1000.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.080.000.031664%0.072-0.0210%-0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.011653%0.062-0.0300%0.00
JR Smith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.011344%0.0200.0010%-0.00
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.000.00460%0.011-0.002100%0.00
John Holland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cedi Osman00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ante Zizic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02050%-0.000-0.00250%-0.01
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.00-0.0520%-0.022-0.0000%0.00
Channing Frye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04425%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.427.415.332.11.723.3128.5
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +37.3%
CLE +1.5%
CLE +7.6%
CLE +3.4%
CLE +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game14.913.914.798.0106.9107.5
season15.114.8105.4111.2
opponent14.714.6110.6105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.915.213.614.714.9
CLE11.812.115.816.613.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bam Adebayo38380.00-0.500.50-0.3813-243714.515.1-0.6114.213.80.41
Udonis Haslem910-0.00-0.500.50-0.238-192712.615.1-2.5619.613.36.29
Derrick Walton Jr.56-0.00-0.500.50-0.186-172311.015.1-4.0919.513.65.92
Wayne Ellington4747-0.07-0.430.36-0.4513-243714.914.9-0.0515.312.82.52
Kelly Olynyk2323-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-6115.214.80.4413.514.1-0.59
Tyler Johnson5050-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-10914.914.90.0013.714.2-0.54
Hassan Whiteside3939-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-5-6115.314.60.6214.313.70.53
Justise Winslow3839-0.32-0.18-0.140.12-154-1915.914.21.7314.313.70.61
James Johnson6769-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.16-6-5-114.416.0-1.6113.514.8-1.25
Dion Waiters7475-0.40-0.10-0.300.19-209-2914.815.2-0.4313.016.5-3.51
Goran Dragic4850-0.41-0.09-0.310.09-176-2315.614.21.4113.414.5-1.13
Josh Richardson5759-0.510.01-0.510.26-2615-4114.914.90.0413.215.0-1.75

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JR Smith88860.58-0.080.670.0319-82714.013.20.8915.113.51.63
Kevin Love56550.55-0.050.60-0.1925-143912.815.3-2.5315.114.70.40
LeBron James62610.51-0.010.51-0.2626-154112.915.5-2.5814.914.9-0.03
Jose Calderon46450.240.26-0.010.1638-514.913.11.7614.615.1-0.51
Kyle Korver55540.210.29-0.080.0947-314.113.80.2714.914.90.02
Jeff Green53540.210.29-0.090.27-213-1514.713.11.5814.815.0-0.14
Jae Crowder45420.170.33-0.150.0647-313.114.6-1.5615.014.80.21
Dwyane Wade59580.070.43-0.350.34-920-2914.413.31.0614.715.1-0.46
John Holland330.000.50-0.500.12-415-1915.713.91.7911.015.0-4.00
Cedi Osman440.000.50-0.500.12-415-1918.713.75.0213.015.0-1.96
Ante Zizic330.000.50-0.500.12-415-1915.713.91.7911.015.0-4.00
Channing Frye4241-0.050.55-0.600.25-1021-3115.312.92.3614.914.80.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 83, IND 1010.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
ORL 90, DAL 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
WAS 89, LAL 1160.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%