inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 90 Excitement2.4 [1231] MVPSteve Nash (DAL): +6.6%
Dallas Mavericks 108 Comeback1.1 [1265] LVPGordan Giricek (ORL): -7.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.090.000.081173%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Pat Burke0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02475%0.0010.0000%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.07-0.000.06783%0.042-0.044100%0.02
Jeryl Sasser-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andrew DeClercq-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Steven Hunter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.001058%0.012-0.02450%-0.03
Chris Whitney-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.080.00-0.0640%-0.021-0.0000%0.00
Shawn Kemp-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.0230%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.090.00-0.0430%-0.042-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.070,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.120.00-0.05456%-0.015-0.06862%-0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.011437%-0.0700.00475%-0.00
Gordan Giricek-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.00-0.011356%-0.016-0.06683%0.01

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.120.000.061587%0.096-0.022100%0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.00-0.032256%0.082-0.02887%0.01
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.00-0.01961%0.0510.0000%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.01861%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.03944%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.030.000.02371%0.0100.001100%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.00450%0.0000.0000%0.00
Popeye Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Evan Eschmeyer00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Avery Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.080.00-0.08217%-0.0020.00250%0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.100.00-0.08933%0.003-0.0200%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.03362%-0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.028.316.423.42.526.3126.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.9149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +37.0%
DAL +4.5%
ORL -2.1%
DAL +12.6%
ORL -2.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLDALNBAORLDALNBA
this game14.015.415.591.8110.2101.6
season14.615.1102.7108.6
opponent15.315.8102.0103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.215.211.315.614.0
DAL13.014.216.318.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Burke2725-0.02-0.480.47-0.227-253214.913.71.2316.914.92.06
Shawn Kemp1110-0.04-0.460.42-0.01-1-171613.514.1-0.5115.115.4-0.32
Steven Hunter5352-0.06-0.440.37-0.3911-294014.613.31.2315.615.20.44
Jeryl Sasser3939-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-171615.013.41.6217.114.32.85
Andrew DeClercq2829-0.08-0.420.340.04-4-141013.414.2-0.8515.515.30.18
Chris Whitney2726-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-151215.313.51.7415.115.5-0.37
Darrell Armstrong5756-0.20-0.300.10-0.355-232814.313.60.7515.315.5-0.15
Tracy McGrady5354-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-13812.815.4-2.5915.215.6-0.41
Jacque Vaughn4647-0.31-0.19-0.120.34-224-2613.614.4-0.8215.815.00.77
Pat Garrity2831-0.35-0.15-0.190.24-202-2213.214.3-1.1014.215.9-1.70
Drew Gooden4949-0.45-0.05-0.400.40-2911-4013.814.2-0.4115.115.7-0.57
Gordan Giricek7272-0.540.04-0.580.28-2810-3813.914.3-0.3714.517.9-3.40

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dirk Nowitzki92910.500.000.50-0.1221-32415.021.2-6.1614.013.60.46
Steve Nash72730.490.010.49-0.3027-93615.016.6-1.6214.313.21.13
Raja Bell69690.300.200.11-0.05126615.515.20.2613.615.1-1.52
Adrian Griffin52520.250.25-0.00-0.07117414.915.9-1.0313.914.1-0.20
Eduardo Najera45430.250.25-0.010.04711-415.615.20.3114.213.80.41
Tariq Abdul-Wahad37370.250.25-0.010.07612-614.815.8-0.9713.914.0-0.13
Raef LaFrentz43450.240.26-0.01-0.171441014.316.3-2.0213.714.3-0.62
Nick Van Exel53530.200.30-0.100.29-321-2415.315.5-0.1914.113.90.21
Shawn Bradley550.010.49-0.480.04-119-2018.415.23.1713.614.0-0.42
Avery Johnson11100.010.49-0.49-0.02117-1622.514.57.9615.313.91.45
Popeye Jones670.000.50-0.500.09-321-2421.215.06.1613.614.0-0.46
Evan Eschmeyer550.000.50-0.500.06-220-2220.615.15.4915.413.91.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHA 73, IND 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
MIA 97, CLE 1080.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
SEA 94, LAC 1140.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%