NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	9.1 [141]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +53.3%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	38.8 [73]		LVP	Al Horford (BOS): -27.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.53	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.35,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.45,0.45,0.53	0.36	0.25	0.08	22	85%	0.64	3	-0.10	11	91%	0.06
Jayson Tatum	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.11	0.04	0.08	0.01	11	58%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.03	13	69%	0.08	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.03
Daniel Theis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	11	35%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	15	35%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Al Horford	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.09	-0.20	-0.01	5	30%	-0.19	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	14	58%	0.14	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	13	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	0.11	-0.10	0.01	21	60%	0.23	2	-0.23	10	100%	0.11
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.07	0.00	12	58%	0.06	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.04	0.01	16	25%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	26.5	15.3	27.9	1.8	33.1	1.8	12.3	143.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	3.2	17.5	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +41.4%

DAL -10.3%

BOS +10.2%

BOS +7.3%

BOS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DAL	NBA	BOS	DAL	NBA
this game	12.8	16.3	14.7	99.1	94.4	107.5
season	15.1	15.4		106.4	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.7		108.1	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	11.9	13.8	12.9	13.1	11.7	12.8
DAL	16.4	15.0	16.6	18.2	14.5	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	80	79	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.38	15	-7	22	12.5	13.5	-1.09	16.0	17.1	-1.11
Marcus Smart	73	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-7	22	12.8	12.8	-0.04	16.7	15.6	1.11
Kyrie Irving	83	82	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.09	21	-13	34	12.5	13.6	-1.13	15.9	17.6	-1.65
Jaylen Brown	78	76	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	2	4	12.2	14.1	-1.84	16.4	16.0	0.42
Al Horford	69	66	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	1	6	13.2	12.0	1.27	17.1	15.1	2.01
Marcus Morris	53	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	12.5	13.0	-0.49	16.2	16.4	-0.15
Aron Baynes	27	26	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	7	-6	13.8	12.4	1.39	15.2	16.7	-1.49
Daniel Theis	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	13	-18	11.3	13.0	-1.73	15.2	16.5	-1.31
Abdel Nader	8	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	13	-18	16.1	12.5	3.62	12.9	16.6	-3.71
Shane Larkin	5	4	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	11	-14	16.2	12.6	3.60	24.5	16.0	8.49
Semi Ojeleye	25	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	15	-22	12.8	12.8	-0.01	16.7	16.2	0.55
Terry Rozier	27	27	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.04	-13	21	-34	14.1	12.3	1.73	17.0	16.1	0.95

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	48	47	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.42	-2	-6	4	17.4	15.5	1.85	12.6	12.9	-0.29
Dennis Smith Jr.	57	56	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.12	5	-13	18	15.6	17.2	-1.62	12.4	13.1	-0.68
Devin Harris	27	28	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.33	-5	-3	-2	16.6	16.2	0.36	12.2	13.0	-0.74
Salah Mejri	14	14	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-14	20	13.1	16.8	-3.74	15.4	12.4	3.05
Maxi Kleber	31	32	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.10	-1	-7	6	16.5	16.2	0.27	12.6	12.8	-0.24
Wesley Matthews	88	90	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.30	-9	1	-10	16.2	16.9	-0.77	12.9	12.2	0.65
Dirk Nowitzki	64	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.80	8	-16	24	16.8	15.6	1.20	12.9	12.5	0.38
Yogi Ferrell	76	80	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.30	-15	7	-22	16.3	16.4	-0.16	12.2	14.2	-1.94
Harrison Barnes	83	85	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.21	-21	13	-34	15.9	17.7	-1.82	12.8	12.7	0.05
J.J. Barea	52	55	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.67	-6	-2	-4	17.2	15.5	1.71	13.3	12.2	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.71,0.81,0.74,0.82,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.95,0.75,0.89,0.76,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.57,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 117, SAC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.36,0.5,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.32,0.05,0	87.7%
UTA 105, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.45,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.53,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.84,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.33,0.15,0	87.0%
GSW 103, UTA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.67,0.86,0.78,0.43,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.15,0,0	86.8%