NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	120		Excitement	9.3 [114]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +49.2%
Chicago Bulls	123		Comeback	5.7 [118]		LVP	Robin Lopez (CHI): -21.3%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.49	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.28,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.49	0.33	0.17	0.01	27	75%	0.58	1	-0.09	9	89%	0.07
Nicolas Batum	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.10	0.01	7	53%	0.12	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	56%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Malik Monk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	69%	0.08	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Dwayne Bacon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0.01	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	9	72%	0.08	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	10	42%	-0.03	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.12
Jeremy Lamb	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.35,0.35,0.48	0.48	0.12	0.36	-0.01	16	69%	0.51	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.42,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.20	0.26	0.01	15	82%	0.51	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	4	82%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.04
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.08,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.13	0.02	15	60%	0.23	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	56%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kay Felder	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	0.07	-0.08	0.07	11	62%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	10	30%	-0.13	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	26.2	14.7	24.4	2.5	33.7	128.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +64.5%

CHA -14.9%

CHA -11.6%

CHI +11.5%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	14.2	14.0	14.7	117.6	120.6	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		108.7	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.5		110.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.8	13.2	14.2	14.7	14.2
CHI	14.6	12.5	16.5	13.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	44	44	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.14	8	-11	19	13.1	15.0	-1.86	13.9	14.1	-0.23
Dwayne Bacon	40	38	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	13.9	14.4	-0.53	14.3	13.9	0.40
Marvin Williams	59	60	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-5	7	14.1	14.4	-0.34	14.9	12.8	2.09
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	57	58	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.11	4	-7	11	14.3	14.0	0.27	14.2	13.8	0.47
Malik Monk	24	24	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	3	-9	13.9	14.3	-0.37	11.4	14.9	-3.48
Kemba Walker	78	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-6	9	14.3	13.9	0.37	14.9	11.4	3.48
Nicolas Batum	57	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	2	-7	14.2	14.2	0.03	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Frank Kaminsky	43	42	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.40	-5	2	-7	14.4	14.1	0.34	12.8	14.9	-2.09
Jeremy Lamb	50	52	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.34	-8	5	-13	14.3	14.1	0.20	13.7	14.4	-0.71
Dwight Howard	58	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	8	-19	15.0	13.1	1.86	14.1	13.9	0.23

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	55	55	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.40	8	-5	13	14.4	13.6	0.74	14.3	14.0	0.28
Lauri Markkanen	68	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.27	8	-5	13	14.0	14.1	-0.12	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Quincy Pondexter	31	32	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	2	-1	13.5	14.3	-0.71	14.3	14.1	0.17
Justin Holiday	75	77	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	-1	5	14.3	13.4	0.81	13.9	15.2	-1.28
Robin Lopez	62	61	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	-9	21	13.7	14.5	-0.80	14.3	14.1	0.21
Cristiano Felicio	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.43	-9	12	-21	14.5	13.7	0.80	14.4	14.1	0.29
Antonio Blakeney	26	25	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	3	-3	14.0	14.1	-0.10	15.2	13.9	1.28
Denzel Valentine	71	70	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	14.3	13.5	0.71	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Bobby Portis	34	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.18	-5	8	-13	14.1	14.0	0.12	14.5	14.0	0.47
Kay Felder	1	0	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	4	-5	0.0	14.2	-14.18	0.0	14.2	-14.20
Paul Zipser	1	0	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	4	-5	0.0	14.2	-14.18	0.0	14.2	-14.20
Jerian Grant	46	47	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.01	-4	7	-11	13.9	14.1	-0.19	14.0	14.3	-0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.44,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.48,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.47,0.54,0.67,0.55,0.37,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	91.6%
WAS 93, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.36,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.36,0.86,1,1	91.0%
POR 83, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.42,0.34,0.22,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.95,0.99,1	91.0%