inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 91 Excitement5.2 [798] MVPHassan Whiteside (MIA): +25.1%
Washington Wizards 88 Comeback1.2 [437] LVPKelly Oubre Jr. (WAS): -16.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside0.250,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.250.170.100.021281%0.282-0.03367%-0.01
James Johnson0.080,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.080.060.050.021459%0.131-0.05667%-0.01
Dion Waiters0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08-0.020.07-0.031346%0.112-0.032100%0.01
Wayne Ellington0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.02444%0.0300.001100%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00383%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Justise Winslow0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01950%0.0200.00250%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01050%0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Tyler Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01744%0.012-0.062100%0.01
Josh Richardson-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.14-0.02-0.071015%-0.072-0.0200%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11-0.15-0.02-0.071127%-0.044-0.0600%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.110.07-0.003100%0.1800.003100%0.02
Otto Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.050.050.030.050.031050%0.0500.004100%0.05
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.02-0.00955%0.052-0.04250%-0.01
Ian Mahinmi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mike Scott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.01-0.00367%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01750%0.012-0.0300%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.01-0.030.01456%0.021-0.061100%0.00
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04-0.04-0.100.00-0.061233%-0.003-0.0400%0.00
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0130%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.08-0.080.07-0.120.042254%-0.071-0.01475%-0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.13-0.04-0.01920%-0.132-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.62.024.214.624.01.837.2128.4
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +42.5%
WAS -0.8%
MIA +10.2%
WAS -3.3%
MIA +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAWASNBAMIAWASNBA
this game15.614.514.795.891.7107.5
season15.114.8105.4108.2
opponent14.714.6107.9105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA13.913.917.617.315.6
WAS15.415.513.713.514.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dion Waiters63650.51-0.010.520.346-3915.116.7-1.5614.315.0-0.68
Goran Dragic69690.380.120.260.235-2715.515.9-0.3614.714.00.70
Hassan Whiteside61600.310.190.120.34-14-516.114.81.2914.514.6-0.07
James Johnson62630.300.200.110.42-47-1115.615.7-0.1613.616.4-2.82
Josh Richardson70690.270.230.050.54-912-2116.911.95.0214.514.6-0.12
Kelly Olynyk24250.270.230.04-0.0812-92113.916.2-2.2814.914.40.51
Justise Winslow36370.260.240.010.086-3915.215.9-0.7315.314.11.27
Tyler Johnson40420.170.33-0.160.025-2715.315.9-0.5514.614.50.05
Wayne Ellington42420.090.41-0.320.0321115.016.1-1.0314.914.20.69
Bam Adebayo88-0.060.56-0.630.14-710-1717.715.42.3215.714.41.32

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Smith19180.03-0.530.56-0.125-81315.214.40.8316.615.41.15
Tim Frazier2826-0.10-0.400.31-0.100-3315.214.21.0016.515.31.26
Jodie Meeks2726-0.12-0.380.27-0.09-1-2115.914.01.8716.915.11.79
Mike Scott1919-0.16-0.340.180.08-85-1314.314.6-0.3514.515.9-1.43
Ian Mahinmi1617-0.17-0.330.170.04-74-1114.614.50.0215.515.6-0.11
Markieff Morris4647-0.23-0.270.05-0.08-52-714.914.20.7115.815.40.41
Bradley Beal8179-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.456-91514.216.3-2.0415.516.3-0.83
Kelly Oubre Jr.5250-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.27-2-1-114.214.9-0.7215.316.0-0.68
Marcin Gortat5655-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.361-4514.414.7-0.2315.715.60.08
Otto Porter Jr.6667-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.381-4514.215.2-0.9615.416.2-0.89
John Wall7071-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.34-52-714.415.0-0.6815.416.4-1.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.29,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.11,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 109, POR 980.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.03,0.06,0.01,0,094.4%
POR 102, NJN 930.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,094.1%
IND 96, GSW 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.18,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.02,094.0%