NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	99		Excitement	3.1 [1180]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +14.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Comeback	1.1 [1285]		LVP	Jeff Teague (MIN): -9.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	13	65%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.J. Barea	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	9	61%	0.09	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Devin Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	-0.01	0.07	8	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gian Clavell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	71%	0.00	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	10	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.01	0.08	15	58%	-0.00	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	-0.00	14	72%	0.16	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	18	70%	0.15	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	150%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.03	4	112%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	7	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	13	42%	-0.02	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	27.5	14.6	25.7	1.7	30.0	124.4
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.3%

MIN +0.5%

MIN +9.7%

MIN +3.6%

MIN +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	13.9	14.7	102.1	113.1	107.5
season	15.4	15.3		105.3	111.8
opponent	14.4	14.3		110.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.3	14.8	15.8	14.1	15.5
MIN	13.4	12.8	14.2	15.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maxi Kleber	45	48	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.42	18	-31	49	13.4	17.3	-3.95	14.6	13.3	1.27
Jeff Withey	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-16	19	12.4	15.6	-3.24	12.2	14.0	-1.82
Gian Clavell	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.15	5	-18	23	13.0	16.1	-3.12	16.1	13.4	2.78
Yogi Ferrell	42	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.35	8	-21	29	14.6	16.1	-1.47	14.2	13.7	0.45
Dwight Powell	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.30	5	-18	23	14.5	16.1	-1.62	14.6	13.5	1.08
Nerlens Noel	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	-2	-9	16.2	15.2	1.05	12.9	14.3	-1.41
Salah Mejri	16	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-3	-7	17.7	15.0	2.73	14.6	13.8	0.83
Devin Harris	44	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.13	-12	-1	-11	15.2	15.7	-0.54	13.3	14.4	-1.14
J.J. Barea	40	39	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.24	-16	3	-19	15.4	15.5	-0.17	13.3	14.3	-1.03
Dennis Smith Jr.	49	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-11	9	16.3	14.6	1.68	14.7	13.1	1.68
Dirk Nowitzki	43	44	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	-1	-11	15.9	15.1	0.78	13.9	13.9	-0.04
Harrison Barnes	60	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.25	-21	8	-29	16.5	13.7	2.82	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Wesley Matthews	52	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	7	-27	16.8	14.0	2.83	13.0	15.0	-2.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	69	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.12	16	-3	19	14.0	13.7	0.33	15.9	14.5	1.41
Andrew Wiggins	73	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-1	15	13.9	14.0	-0.10	15.6	15.2	0.40
Jimmy Butler	68	67	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	0	13	14.4	12.9	1.45	15.8	14.8	0.98
Karl-Anthony Towns	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	3	7	14.5	12.9	1.66	15.8	14.8	1.04
Taj Gibson	62	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.01	10	3	7	14.3	13.3	1.05	15.8	14.9	0.97
Jamal Crawford	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.13	3	10	-7	13.4	14.3	-0.94	14.6	16.1	-1.47
Gorgui Dieng	31	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	9	-5	12.8	14.5	-1.68	15.2	15.6	-0.45
Nemanja Bjelica	32	31	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	11	-9	13.8	14.0	-0.22	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Tyus Jones	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	13	-13	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.9	15.7	-0.77
Shabazz Muhammad	21	22	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	13	-13	12.8	14.2	-1.42	16.3	15.2	1.09
Aaron Brooks	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	12.5	14.0	-1.46	8.5	15.6	-7.12
Cole Aldrich	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	14	-15	13.5	13.9	-0.45	11.0	15.6	-4.62
Marcus Georges-Hunt	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	12.5	14.0	-1.46	8.5	15.6	-7.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 87, PHI 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
SAC 76, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%