inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 119 Excitement3.1 [1190] MVPJames Harden (HOU): +12.5%
Atlanta Hawks 104 Comeback1.1 [1231] LVPMarco Belinelli (ATL): -4.9%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.130,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.190.000.061572%0.162-0.041070%-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.150.000.051180%0.1010.00367%0.01
Ryan Anderson0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.00-0.01961%0.0800.0000%0.00
Eric Gordon0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.00-0.021365%0.114-0.065100%0.01
Clint Capela0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00960%0.051-0.022100%0.01
Trevor Ariza0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001155%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Tarik Black0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Demetrius Jackson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
Zhou Qi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03325%0.0000.002100%0.00
Bobby Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
PJ Tucker-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.020.000.01527%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Nene-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.01850%0.002-0.0300%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.150.000.045120%0.1100.0000%0.00
Taurean Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.00-0.011267%0.063-0.0200%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.080.000.06590%0.0200.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.011450%0.022-0.02875%-0.01
Nicolas Brussino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.06750%0.023-0.022100%0.00
Tyler Dorsey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02671%-0.0130.002100%0.01
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.000.02433%-0.0300.001100%0.00
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.001355%0.044-0.07367%-0.01
Isaiah Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.000.03960%0.013-0.052100%0.01
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.0350%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.02.024.515.324.91.825.3120.0
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +28.6%
HOU +3.7%
HOU +12.5%
HOU +2.1%
HOU +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUATLNBAHOUATLNBA
this game14.214.014.7116.7102.0107.5
season14.614.6112.8104.2
opponent14.414.8109.8105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU13.714.114.914.114.2
ATL13.414.712.815.314.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden68670.430.070.36-0.1319-42314.014.7-0.7513.315.4-2.13
Trevor Ariza70710.400.100.29-0.2522-72913.914.8-0.8814.014.0-0.00
Ryan Anderson53530.390.110.28-0.021411314.513.90.5914.313.70.57
Luc Mbah a Moute72730.320.180.140.03105514.313.90.4313.814.5-0.68
Clint Capela50500.300.200.110.19411-713.614.8-1.2313.914.1-0.18
Eric Gordon66630.260.240.020.0287113.515.5-2.0414.413.41.04
PJ Tucker50490.200.30-0.11-0.3619-42314.114.3-0.2113.914.1-0.17
Nene36350.140.36-0.22-0.301501514.014.3-0.3213.214.5-1.31
Tarik Black16170.060.44-0.380.18-419-2316.613.82.8716.113.62.44
Demetrius Jackson670.000.50-0.500.18-621-2717.314.03.3216.413.92.58
Zhou Qi14150.000.50-0.500.44-1530-4515.614.01.6713.914.1-0.19
Bobby Brown9100.000.50-0.500.32-1126-3717.113.93.1915.413.91.52

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolas Brussino12120.00-0.500.50-0.3813-284114.414.00.4416.213.92.22
Tyler Dorsey3636-0.16-0.340.18-0.160-151515.513.22.2714.214.20.03
Luke Babbitt5356-0.18-0.320.15-0.325-202514.113.90.1714.713.51.21
John Collins6060-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-5-10514.014.1-0.1114.214.20.03
Marco Belinelli3940-0.20-0.300.100.36-194-2313.714.3-0.5913.314.8-1.45
Taurean Prince5552-0.21-0.290.080.09-10-5-513.414.7-1.3314.414.00.48
Isaiah Taylor5052-0.22-0.280.07-0.396-212713.714.4-0.7214.813.51.31
Mike Muscala4140-0.28-0.22-0.060.22-172-1914.213.90.3614.014.4-0.38
Dewayne Dedmon4948-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-10-5-514.114.00.1413.714.6-0.86
Kent Bazemore5858-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-14-1-1313.315.0-1.7914.314.10.24
Dennis Schroder5756-0.39-0.11-0.280.31-249-3314.713.21.5613.515.1-1.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 126, GSW 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
MIN 91, DET 800.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,096.6%
PHX 106, ORL 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%